Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08a399804e1824bca97bf790af8bac4dbb0f87dfab86c57065834da2f1b0c67

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $791,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $386,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	19,064$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.3	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	17,454$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	3c	16,884$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.33	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Yes	6c	16,311$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf89f…f8aebacked Yes	4c	11,961$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	11,243$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.85	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	11,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28b…6593backed Yes	1c	10,325$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-73%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	10,255$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.7	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	9,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	8,710$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.77	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	8,500$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	7,810$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.39	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f4…4dd3backed Yes	4c	7,477$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	7,129$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.84	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	7,036$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.92	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x395a…a05dbacked Yes	0c	7,007$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	9	0%0 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,405$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.2	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,564$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	5,065$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.65	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	4,898$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.12	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	4,800$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.9	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	4,723$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	4,653$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.91	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	4,627$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.67	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	5c	4,568$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.11	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	2c	4,562$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.79	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	4,541$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.22	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	4c	4,017$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.23	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	4,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	3,993$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.97	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,939$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	3c	3,743$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.58	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	9c	3,652$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.58	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	1c	3,598$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.45	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	10c	3,500$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	3,391$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.01	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	3,280$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.58	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	3,147$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.73	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	4c	3,044$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.61	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	13c	2,987$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.15	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	2,965$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.87	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	2,889$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.89	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	11c	2,876$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.36	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	2,861$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.76	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa52…780dbacked Yes	1c	2,753$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	2,732$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.27	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	10c	2,685$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.96	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…1bbabacked Yes	1c	2,460$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	2,404$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.59	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a52abacked Yes	2c	2,166$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	2,150$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.43	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	4c	2,114$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	2,090$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	2,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	2,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	1,963$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.62	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	8c	1,950$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.11	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	9c	1,738$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.13	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	3c	1,706$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…ac16backed Yes	3c	1,653$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.05	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,553$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.64	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	1,475$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc131…f290backed Yes	2c	1,469$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0759…a93dbacked Yes	3c	1,466$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.69	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	10c	1,448$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.06	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	8c	1,359$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.31	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	2c	1,352$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	1,247$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	1,242$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.59	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	1,199$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.4	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	6c	1,183$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	7c	1,177$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	1,169$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcca2…6c38backed Yes	1c	1,156$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-81%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	2c	1,151$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	12c	1,143$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.95	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,099$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9139…9b5bbacked Yes	2c	1,097$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	1,083$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.82	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff3…e007backed Yes	2c	1,082$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	2c	1,078$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	3c	1,072$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	2c	1,022$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.18	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…9299backed Yes	3c	1,018$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	3c	1,012$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…4737backed Yes	10c	969.03$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.51	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	968.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	963.97$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	1c	950$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	2c	948.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8914…36d5backed Yes	9c	938.44$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.39	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2311…99ecbacked Yes	10c	924.85$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.83	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes	2c	911$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	1c	904.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	2c	902$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	899.91$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes	3c	898.64$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event