Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4b68d36cdb13ed5df09dcad13200e50f6a8fd4df05c40ecb50ef007dce2e40

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,097,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $663,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,097,791 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	31,504$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	28,874$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.23	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	24,467$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.07	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	0c	21,401$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.84	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	16,575$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	14,511$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.44	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	13,373$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.24	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc131…f290backed Yes	0c	13,211$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	12,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes	0c	11,900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	47	0%0 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	1c	11,847$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.33	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	11,211$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.55	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	11,194$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.74	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	11,037$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.27	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	9,968$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.23	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	1c	9,849$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.65	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	0c	9,142$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.94	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	12c	8,149$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.71	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	0c	7,172$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,842$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.93	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	6,531$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.32	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	5,745$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.82	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	5,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	6c	5,494$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.72	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	5,415$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	5,192$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	3c	5,134$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.97	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa52…780dbacked Yes	0c	4,990$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	4,876$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.37	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,675$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.49	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,616$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.16	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	4,529$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	4,500$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	4,467$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	4,023$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	3c	4,005$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.78	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	4,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	3,912$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.03	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	1c	3,694$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	3,692$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.05	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	8c	3,569$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.66	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	3,336$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	2c	3,216$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.95	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	3,212$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	3,050$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	2,907$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.19	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	8c	2,706$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.03	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa152…02a6backed Yes	1c	2,599$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	2,580$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b2…ac16backed Yes	1c	2,483$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	2c	2,438$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.09	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	5c	2,164$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.61	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	8c	2,085$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.14	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	1,974$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	1,971$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.38	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	1,932$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.26	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	2c	1,800$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	1c	1,789$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9139…9b5bbacked Yes	1c	1,705$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	1,650$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	1c	1,580$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	7c	1,491$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.3	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0759…a93dbacked Yes	3c	1,312$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.17	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	1,284$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd805…9eaabacked Yes	2c	1,246$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	4c	1,245$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.47	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	1c	1,201$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	1,200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	1c	1,197$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f2…4737backed Yes	7c	1,186$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.83	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	5c	1,128$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	4c	1,112$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.13	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	2c	1,103$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,102$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	1c	1,010$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	972.83$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	3c	970.42$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd651…f760backed Yes	5c	966.81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	6c	923$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.58	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	912.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	892.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	875.09$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	1c	848.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8914…36d5backed Yes	9c	790.8$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.48	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	3c	720.22$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	642.45$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.08	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	626.66$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	2c	600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	565.37$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	6c	559.42$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.61	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	3c	538.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	3c	518.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b83…be04backed Yes	5c	516.56$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	4c	499.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b26…c272backed Yes	4c	457.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	3c	430.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	184	12%22 W · 162 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	6c	410.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes	3c	390.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event