Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea1941d434b1664b1d06e9e5586cd1931f480543b85b493d60719bb45f40c5b

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $540,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	0c	33,449$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	0c	16,460$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d4…6d35backed Yes	13c	16,431$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,091.74	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df5…1267backed Yes	0c	13,240$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+203.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	10,884$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.89	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff3…7737backed Yes	2c	8,038$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.58	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	7,900$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	7,229$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.28	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbf…10d9backed Yes	1c	5,438$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c9…ad1abacked Yes	0c	4,973$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	17cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	4,952$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	0c	4,937$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	0c	4,696$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,692$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	1c	4,200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,008$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	3,558$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	18c	3,477$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.29	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	3c	3,410$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.42	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	3,277$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.35	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	3,198$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	10c	3,114$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.27	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	13c	2,783$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.84	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	2,628$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.26	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	2c	2,565$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,474$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.81	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	18c	2,438$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.08	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb313…1ce7backed Yes	16c	2,249$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.37	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	13c	2,241$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.72	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	2,076$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.46	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	14c	2,001$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.11	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	8c	1,968$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.53	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,949$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,912$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.17	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	4c	1,717$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.24	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	11c	1,656$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.2	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	7c	1,600$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	1,489$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.8	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	1,403$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4a…6019backed Yes	14c	1,253$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.46	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	1,177$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	1,139$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	1,099$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	13c	1,051$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.24	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	1c	1,027$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	2c	1,026$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776d…a16bbacked Yes	2c	953.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+136.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	933.78$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.31	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	922.86$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.63	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	11c	911$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.21	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	3c	854.69$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	14c	811.22$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.53	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	12c	802.56$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.31	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	4c	782.64$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccd…3fdebacked Yes	3c	761.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+114.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…baf2backed Yes	2c	742.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	15c	699.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	2c	671.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	665.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	14c	633.67$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.67	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	11c	604.33$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.02	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	600.03$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.01	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	18c	600$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	16c	580.29$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.85	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf20…67aebacked Yes	18c	550.8$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.14	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…0b26backed Yes	3c	538.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26f0…1d60backed Yes	15c	518.72$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.81	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…0937backed Yes	17c	497.49$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.57	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	15c	489.63$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.45	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	5c	481.11$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	14c	469.76$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.97	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	16c	450.05$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.51	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	11c	420.91$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbec…b6a5backed Yes	17c	419.87$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.38	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5034…3f34backed Yes	14c	412.86$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.14	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	8c	404.41$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	12c	402.8$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.34	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	11c	399.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf096…28a8backed Yes	12c	399$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…3f0ebacked Yes	13c	376.6$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…1c87backed Yes	8c	362.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes	13c	351.15$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.65	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	6c	333.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9748…329ebacked Yes	17c	332.93$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	13c	320.72$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.69	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…f9c0backed Yes	11c	309.58$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c9…3c8bbacked Yes	10c	300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d3…aedbbacked Yes	11c	295.72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	81	16%13 W · 68 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa5…3bc2backed Yes	16c	290.78$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef5…c90bbacked Yes	16c	286.25$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	13c	273.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	12c	273.6$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cd…9766backed Yes	12c	273.17$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e2…8c5cbacked Yes	10c	273$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	45	20%9 W · 36 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	7c	265.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x429a…c211backed Yes	4c	241.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6763…b14fbacked Yes	14c	226.96$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	5c	219.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	6c	212.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event