Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7657bb870a043d7824899f4490e79105be3b277847a893e218250800af42aab4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,024,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $549,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,671 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	122,461$6,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,018.11	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	1c	73,841$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.18	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	18c	28,000$5,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,031.62	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	14c	14,690$2,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025.51	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	72c	13,986$10,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,900.21	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	6c	10,547$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.56	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	23c	9,994$2,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,248.68	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	22c	9,358$2,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,037.93	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	16c	8,791$1,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.37	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	8,702$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.31	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	16c	8,231$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.85	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	8,133$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.94	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	15c	7,600$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.42	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	14c	7,235$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.58	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	6,892$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.31	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	6,379$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.4	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	14c	6,353$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.46	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	26c	6,104$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.11	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	8c	6,080$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.01	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b7…227bbacked No	75c	5,283$3,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.96	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	17c	5,235$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.17	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	1c	5,172$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.16	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	34c	4,691$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.77	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	19c	4,582$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.86	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	16c	4,562$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.49	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	6c	4,214$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.07	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db4…3a77backed Yes	4c	4,137$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.71	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	54cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	21c	4,035$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.96	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	29c	3,939$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147.86	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	3,792$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.32	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	21c	3,708$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.24	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	15c	3,421$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.47	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	3,419$2,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.25	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	13c	3,351$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.39	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	17c	3,220$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.5	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	80c	3,196$2,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.4	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	19c	3,134$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.72	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	3,133$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.71	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	6c	3,000$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	39c	2,935$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.29	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9a…05f1backed Yes	4c	2,930$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.64	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	18c	2,815$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.1	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	5c	2,726$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.05	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	22c	2,692$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.39	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	20c	2,692$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.63	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	25c	2,604$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.94	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	20c	2,574$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.89	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	26c	2,553$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.25	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	25c	2,424$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.16	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	16c	2,408$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.03	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	17c	2,310$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.14	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	23c	2,279$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.85	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	9c	2,267$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.95	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	22c	2,260$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.13	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	19c	2,167$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.13	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	21c	2,141$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.32	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	2,115$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.19	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	16c	2,067$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.89	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	8c	2,002$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.49	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	21c	2,002$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.79	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	26c	2,000$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.84	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	19c	1,991$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.37	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	67c	1,967$1,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.84	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	14c	1,951$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.79	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked No	78c	1,917$1,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.92	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9b7…0841backed Yes	35c	1,901$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	20c	1,895$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.56	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	26c	1,877$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.59	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Yes	22c	1,868$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.91	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	32c	1,864$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.73	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d74…a191backed Yes	8c	1,852$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.09	50	38%19 W · 31 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb614…2a44backed Yes	28c	1,820$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.89	113	39.8%45 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes	14c	1,802$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.05	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	16c	1,726$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.79	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	6c	1,712$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	19c	1,650$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.8	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	21c	1,625$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.17	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	18c	1,615$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.29	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	13c	1,595$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.34	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	20c	1,589$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.38	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	6c	1,589$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.57	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	33c	1,583$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.65	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	8c	1,559$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.64	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,525$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.57	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	20c	1,515$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.92	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…fe1bbacked Yes	9c	1,499$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.56	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa13f…1e76backed Yes	17c	1,497$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.51	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	20c	1,492$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.07	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	1,479$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes	14c	1,459$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.3	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	7c	1,445$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.13	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	15c	1,386$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.37	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	4c	1,371$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.06	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	18c	1,337$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.03	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	10c	1,335$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.57	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	6c	1,330$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.94	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event