Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27cebfb6b250fac8e9051abba86603338613782717b82a9d93660e64b0430504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $826,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70be…044dbacked Yes | 1c | 18,519$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…d992backed Yes | 1c | 12,929$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes | 0c | 12,483$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,760$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 5c | 11,214$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.35 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed Yes | 23c | 11,209$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.57 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 0c | 9,917$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…df3fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,397$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,188.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,247$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,953$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…3b97backed Yes | 1c | 8,184$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…ac16backed Yes | 31c | 7,402$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.88 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df5…1267backed Yes | 1c | 6,959$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +203.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7e5abacked Yes | 6c | 6,498$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.32 | 291 | 13.1%38 W · 253 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…c49cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,463$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…94c6backed No | 76c | 6,447$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 6,436$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 0c | 6,285$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…4048backed Yes | 0c | 6,231$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 6,081$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 1,809 | 7.4%133 W · 1,676 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,865$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 577 | 5.5%32 W · 545 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a52abacked Yes | 1c | 5,844$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 1c | 5,731$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,685$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 187 | 3.2%6 W · 181 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +278.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…fbdebacked Yes | 7c | 5,655$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Yes | 1c | 5,397$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +272.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,986$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 4,785$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 189 | 4.2%8 W · 181 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 1c | 4,642$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…7737backed Yes | 6c | 4,566$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,551$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…e140backed Yes | 0c | 4,502$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 6c | 4,346$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,274$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…06fabacked Yes | 2c | 4,234$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…ae53backed Yes | 14c | 3,877$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.01 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,208$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 574 | 8.2%47 W · 527 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed Yes | 0c | 3,151$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6749…ef34backed Yes | 27c | 3,068$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Yes | 1c | 3,061$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 5c | 2,996$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 2,941$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes | 20c | 2,866$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.77 | 246 | 6.1%15 W · 231 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 74c | 2,822$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.88 | 556 | 75.2%418 W · 138 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 2,637$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 534 | 10.5%56 W · 478 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 8c | 2,580$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 140 | 15.7%22 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…4503backed Yes | 18c | 2,528$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 1c | 2,481$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 593 | 11.5%68 W · 525 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 19c | 2,391$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.61 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…1ce7backed Yes | 27c | 2,386$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.52 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 6c | 2,381$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 1c | 2,262$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…6069backed Yes | 1c | 2,177$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…1e04backed Yes | 1c | 2,166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…6760backed Yes | 15c | 2,063$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.46 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 15c | 2,030$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 911 | 10.2%93 W · 818 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…cff9backed Yes | 7c | 1,938$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes | 6c | 1,916$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…0d7dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,905$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes | 30c | 1,860$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.98 | 160 | 9.4%15 W · 145 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 2c | 1,845$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 119 | 6.7%8 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 1,831$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…afc1backed Yes | 1c | 1,823$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…a16bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,801$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…afd5backed Yes | 19c | 1,721$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,706$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 21c | 1,647$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.53 | 1,041 | 11%115 W · 926 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 5c | 1,607$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 304 | 27%82 W · 222 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 1c | 1,604$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,219 | 8.7%106 W · 1,113 L | +32.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…dacebacked Yes | 20c | 1,588$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.67 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…0813backed Yes | 6c | 1,580$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 277 | 7.9%22 W · 255 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 6c | 1,575$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 1,072 | 13.6%146 W · 926 L | +38.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…26f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,533$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…a168backed Yes | 5c | 1,523$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,505$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…58febacked Yes | 1c | 1,479$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,460$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 222 | 5.9%13 W · 209 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 79c | 1,386$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,305$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 837 | 14.9%125 W · 712 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…430fbacked No | 79c | 1,300$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 188 | 77.1%145 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 1,295$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 593 | 20.9%124 W · 469 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed Yes | 17c | 1,277$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 10c | 1,272$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 898 | 18.8%169 W · 729 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 3c | 1,266$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…0494backed Yes | 2c | 1,196$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 6c | 1,178$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccd…3fdebacked Yes | 16c | 1,146$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…7789backed Yes | 21c | 1,124$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 12c | 1,095$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 903 | 17.1%154 W · 749 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,086$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 342 | 21.9%75 W · 267 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 18c | 1,036$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…fcb4backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,026$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 3c | 1,013$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…79a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes | 19c | 985.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.