Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x468244c24ec750e8711ac0d2f3d027efa7765e32587052f65e2a4b4bb5ebd822

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,044,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $635,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,380 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes	0c	52,800$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	0c	24,667$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.55	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	23,956$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.08	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed Yes	1c	19,881$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.1	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	11,955$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.32	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	1c	10,826$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.68	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	3c	10,066$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.53	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	9,973$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.52	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	23c	9,955$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.64	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	1c	9,869$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.89	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df5…1267backed Yes	1c	9,471$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+203.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	5c	9,370$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.6	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	5c	8,817$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.46	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	8,518$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.07	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	7,684$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.2	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	2c	7,542$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.43	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	12c	7,421$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.18	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	7,122$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.11	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	6,924$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	19c	6,589$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.44	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	4c	6,400$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.82	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	6c	5,973$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.44	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	5,898$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.41	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	1c	5,816$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.79	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	5c	5,325$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.17	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	5,016$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	1c	4,691$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	80c	4,571$3,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.19	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	11c	4,311$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.76	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	4,205$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.36	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	4,129$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.82	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	3c	4,119$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.71	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	3,841$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.46	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	3,772$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.87	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb708…a2f5backed Yes	2c	3,660$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.41per pick	34cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	9c	3,652$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.51	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e8…db25backed Yes	2c	3,441$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.42	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	3,440$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.48	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…425ebacked Yes	9c	3,225$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.24	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	3,100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	10c	3,072$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.85	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	2,983$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	3c	2,958$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.32	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	2,904$2,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.22	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	20c	2,835$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.9	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	23c	2,816$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.3	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	3c	2,811$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.14	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	2,708$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.5	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	2,688$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.16	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	5c	2,665$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.88	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	2,549$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed Yes	16c	2,455$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.98	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,445$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	10c	2,411$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.1	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	6c	2,392$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.07	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	2,344$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.2	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	2,340$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.52	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes	18c	2,300$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	2,276$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.69	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	1c	2,252$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	21c	2,246$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.78	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	15c	2,217$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.89	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…fbadbacked Yes	4c	2,209$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.12	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	18c	2,161$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.22	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	4c	2,128$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.46	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	12c	2,060$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.09	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Yes	5c	2,039$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	1c	2,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	1,998$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.56	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	1,985$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.98	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb313…1ce7backed Yes	21c	1,939$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.19	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	1,938$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.65	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,933$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Yes	21c	1,922$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.97	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	1,917$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.32	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd0c…fd94backed Yes	9c	1,901$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	17c	1,856$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.06	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Yes	1c	1,829$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc616…3571backed Yes	22c	1,768$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.59	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	1,755$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.51	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes	4c	1,735$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.97	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f9…3613backed Yes	2c	1,734$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	7c	1,689$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.26	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2be8backed Yes	4c	1,685$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.26	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	15c	1,664$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.42	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b2…ac16backed Yes	2c	1,635$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	1,600$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	1c	1,600$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	9c	1,598$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.53	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	23c	1,578$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.51	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8250…3512backed Yes	1c	1,576$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	1,572$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd651…f760backed Yes	9c	1,556$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.82	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	30c	1,550$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1776…d6abbacked Yes	2c	1,549$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.13	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	1,542$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	1,538$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	3c	1,536$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…73c2backed Yes	4c	1,530$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	8c	1,522$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.86	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event