Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72681ed33528c527861b4f2eb4a0c6d9d17bd3fcdf2b48029af3330eb1497458

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $757,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $757,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 772 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4247…91c4backed No	72c	29,026$20,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,822.78	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	45c	28,346$12,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,723.23	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	44c	14,360$6,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,988.42	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	1c	12,470$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.15	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	10,973$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,166.03	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	31c	10,248$3,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,121.18	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	47c	8,928$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,687.75	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	25c	6,091$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,593.36	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	23c	5,881$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,530.13	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	5,591$1,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,385.2	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb087…6658backed Yes	30c	5,543$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,895.96	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	69c	5,436$3,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,732.61	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	10c	5,432$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,880.7	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	20c	5,296$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,220.69	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	47c	4,709$2,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,507.98	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	54c	4,666$2,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,137.55	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	48c	4,524$2,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,365	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	19c	4,402$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,571.9	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	66c	4,165$2,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,753.71	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	80c	4,051$3,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.82	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	39c	3,984$1,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,427.92	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	35c	3,620$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350.26	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	19c	3,569$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.83	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed No	43c	3,387$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.88	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	42c	3,052$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.56	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	28c	3,031$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,170.09	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	70c	2,906$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.2	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	10c	2,820$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,537.99	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	53c	2,800$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.64	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,750$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,420	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	13c	2,724$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,379.35	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	26c	2,673$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,982.8	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	56c	2,595$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.59	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	23c	2,500$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,915	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	70c	2,500$1,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.97	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	20c	2,368$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.61	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	8c	2,309$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,128.5	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	50c	2,299$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.1	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	52c	2,177$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.21	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	49c	2,164$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.9	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	16c	2,163$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,807.65	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	30c	2,091$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.93	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked No	1c	2,058$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	28c	2,019$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,447.62	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,739.98	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	54c	1,962$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.66	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	15c	1,945$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.49	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	69c	1,885$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.39	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	27c	1,870$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,357.65	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	24c	1,816$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.69	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	49c	1,809$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.39	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	42c	1,749$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.62	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	33c	1,748$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.65	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	51c	1,711$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.93	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	13c	1,692$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.56	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes	26c	1,671$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.78	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+124%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4c…7864backed Yes	74c	1,664$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1626…9992backed Yes	60c	1,662$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.77	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…d4febacked Yes	24c	1,652$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.03	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	35c	1,652$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.01	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	15c	1,625$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374.76	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes	53c	1,500$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.67	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	17c	1,485$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.02	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b4…3cf1backed No	4c	1,458$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.29	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	7c	1,445$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.33	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	18c	1,419$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.41	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	41c	1,387$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.33	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa52…780dbacked No	1c	1,378$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	48c	1,365$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.93	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	24c	1,337$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.19	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes	33c	1,318$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.52	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	14c	1,295$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.93	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	13c	1,274$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.79	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	36c	1,259$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.92	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	63c	1,242$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.46	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7954backed Yes	70c	1,214$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	66cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6587…3195backed Yes	27c	1,213$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.7	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	1,212$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.04	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf62c…7681backed Yes	42c	1,209$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No	17c	1,172$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.21	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	22c	1,162$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.61	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	43c	1,100$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.13	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	43c	1,090$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.1	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	26c	1,074$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.72	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	49c	1,028$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.51	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	8c	1,017$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.17	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	28c	1,013$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.37	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	42c	1,005$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.97	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	40c	1,000$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.85	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Yes	74c	995.18$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.38	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	23c	985.22$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.39	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…f33fbacked Yes	23c	981.89$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.69	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	52c	981.22$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.19	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e45…9e45backed No	70c	947.03$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.02	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	943.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.57	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	20c	932.48$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.75	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	18c	909.28$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.68	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event