TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$689,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$766,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd70…ccdbbacked Yes38c132,728$51,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,015.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No61c60,748$37,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,691.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No62c58,277$36,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,145.277753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No61c49,397$30,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,264.873557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes40c37,564$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Yes29c32,500$9,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,305.51633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes7c32,494$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.6127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes39c30,023$11,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,708.8512448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No61c28,050$17,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,939.57542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes38c21,511$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No61c20,188$12,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,872.913050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes40c17,501$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000.29746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c16,281$10,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,241.681,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No61c15,306$9,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,969.3410057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c13,144$8,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,811.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No60c11,221$6,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.3919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No71c9,999$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.820545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes39c9,796$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.625246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No62c9,000$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.9925544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No62c8,717$5,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.156550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No62c8,500$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,23013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes39c8,333$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No62c4,840$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.092360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5605442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4801,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c3,560$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.111,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.218259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c3,320$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.912,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No61c2,977$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.1852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c2,884$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.841,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No62c2,556$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.284365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes38c2,451$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.697759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes40c2,225$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8905228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No61c2,058$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.515939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No61c1,980$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.334052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes38c1,941$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.358343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c1,848$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.941,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes32c1,733$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c1,636$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes34c1,502$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No61c1,416$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.391457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c1,410$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes39c1,377$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.8475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c1,206$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c1,182$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes23c1,160$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6717234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes38c1,012$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No62c999.98$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.997844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes33c822.38$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.395632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No64c819.41$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.992650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes26c789.26$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6910827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes38c696.71$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.753132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes37c673.48$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c671.54$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…72ddbacked Yes37c641.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No62c633.6$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1119154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c610$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No73c600.91$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22823258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes39c599.79$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9228824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No61c565.5$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.557544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No66c539.55$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b92…4d16backed Yes39c521.9$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c517.16$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No74c515.6$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes38c513.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.55054%27 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c499.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.991,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes12c452.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.441,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes38c410$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.85250%26 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15230149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c399.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes38c393$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes27c380.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.722015%3 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c380$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes40c379.62$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes38c328.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5819259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes37c301.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No62c300.02$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes35c285.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9731747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes39c279.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed No62c275.9$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c274.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.441,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.