TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Avalanche, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$684,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf924…45c1backed Avalanche57c117,664$66,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,813.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Panthers44c115,962$50,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,997.1610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche24c91,106$22,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,224.3238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers67c71,583$47,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,959.731,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Panthers45c45,620$20,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,092.711747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Avalanche17c40,295$6,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,730.8662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x467c…8c89backed Panthers75c25,987$19,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,454.511758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Panthers45c24,083$10,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,245.5141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe9…1113backed Panthers42c22,645$9,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,070.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Avalanche55c21,212$11,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,604.2525449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Panthers55c20,375$11,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,172.8215057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Avalanche12c16,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche57c15,351$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,750.171,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Avalanche53c12,853$6,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8191637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche55c11,962$6,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5791,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers47c11,928$5,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,280.7689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeea…d5c1backed Avalanche57c10,821$6,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Avalanche53c10,246$5,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,457.895945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche42c8,689$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.726344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers43c8,655$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.921,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Avalanche55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.964949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche58c6,676$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.0875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Avalanche59c6,645$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.094146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche56c6,500$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.9919645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Avalanche55c6,364$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Panthers45c6,259$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.665735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Avalanche45c6,198$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.2423047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Panthers43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Panthers57c5,850$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.7457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche57c5,700$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,26161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Avalanche30c5,605$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.6533345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Panthers45c5,520$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.7817057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers42c5,383$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.971,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Avalanche60c4,975$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004032.5%13 W · 27 L-8.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Avalanche37c4,936$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.4316246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche55c4,727$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.741,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers47c4,454$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.472,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Avalanche37c4,266$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+70.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Panthers42c3,979$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.8211745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Avalanche55c3,955$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17533243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Panthers41c3,441$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.9311953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers48c3,434$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9790…b9debacked Panthers46c3,400$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…0276backed Avalanche55c3,400$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panthers43c3,355$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.161,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ca…679bbacked Avalanche31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Avalanche44c3,100$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9910255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche54c3,012$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.721,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Panthers74c2,691$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.564778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6591…1d40backed Panthers74c2,607$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche56c2,546$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.3956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche55c2,536$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.839047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche41c2,522$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.71,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Panthers45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3206855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Panthers70c2,360$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.078845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Avalanche28c2,219$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9434538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers43c2,208$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Panthers46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Avalanche55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Panthers45c1,939$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche34c1,901$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.882,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers50c1,876$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.7395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche55c1,839$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.31,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Avalanche58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Avalanche54c1,612$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.3932946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Panthers39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Panthers43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8557338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Avalanche29c1,483$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Panthers71c1,467$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.665660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers43c1,403$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.951,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Panthers43c1,350$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.311,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Avalanche58c1,279$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Avalanche36c1,193$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43020150.2%101 W · 100 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche25c1,161$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.612,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers44c1,125$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63032251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche55c1,103$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.6561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c76…41d9backed Avalanche56c1,099$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.286339.7%25 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Avalanche44c1,035$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5718744.9%84 W · 103 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Panthers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605860.3%35 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Avalanche1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c63…19d7backed Avalanche1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108667.4%58 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Avalanche56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Avalanche12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014037.9%53 W · 87 L-13.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Panthers44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9911253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Panthers57c961.15$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.156063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche55c955$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers44c947.35$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Panthers64c906.56$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6452172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche55c899.99$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Avalanche56c898.79$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4992045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Panthers42c892.53$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6726955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Avalanche44c850.21$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Avalanche60c842.41$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.