NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd928ec7d3d469f379c57444b567969be3249585584c454c375f999473e5b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 152,942$78,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,217.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 50c | 110,000$54,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,499.97 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 47c | 24,858$11,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,683.49 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 7,978$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 5,961$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.78 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 50c | 3,902$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under | 51c | 3,519$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.31 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 3,300$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.66 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 51c | 1,979$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,602$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.42 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 51c | 977.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…d5c1backed Under | 51c | 820$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 641.92$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 500.03$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.02 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 51c | 453$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 335.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 64c | 315$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 40c | 307.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 285.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 285.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under | 51c | 259.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Over | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 131$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…75d8backed Over | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 110.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…0fb5backed Under | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 69c | 90.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Over | 50c | 75.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 64.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 23c | 51.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…7572backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…bdbebacked Under | 45c | 49.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 44.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 50c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Under | 50c | 35.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Under | 51c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 30.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Under | 51c | 29.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…27d2backed Under | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 51c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Over | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Over | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.