NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e279c4cd68527130397d4be56911f2a4cc717d39b48b90d34fe37e9e63330b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 62c | 50,335$31,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,104.49 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 42c | 39,724$16,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,948.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kraken | 38c | 36,735$14,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,603.49 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,299.92 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 62c | 24,779$15,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,267.42 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Kraken | 41c | 18,239$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,714.13 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Ducks | 62c | 16,174$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 60c | 15,000$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,947.48 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Ducks | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 37c | 13,021$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203.23 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kraken | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 62c | 12,397$7,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,685.83 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Ducks | 62c | 12,125$7,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,517.79 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 45c | 11,825$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.56 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ducks | 49c | 10,493$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.44 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Ducks | 62c | 10,212$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Kraken | 41c | 9,960$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,887.07 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kraken | 37c | 7,775$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.06 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kraken | 38c | 7,732$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.81 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 36c | 6,224$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.85 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kraken | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 37c | 4,918$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.07 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 60c | 4,436$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.71 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 38c | 4,197$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.15 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Kraken | 44c | 4,185$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kraken | 38c | 4,176$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.12 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 62c | 3,995$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.38 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Ducks | 61c | 3,905$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.05 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 62c | 3,898$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.39 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 45c | 3,806$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.31 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 61c | 3,507$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 56c | 3,507$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.21 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1c88backed Ducks | 62c | 3,232$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Ducks | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Kraken | 49c | 2,694$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.64 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Kraken | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Ducks | 63c | 2,346$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 1c | 2,322$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 57c | 2,152$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Ducks | 59c | 2,000$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Kraken | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Ducks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kraken | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Ducks | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kraken | 36c | 1,860$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.21 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 63c | 1,832$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.8 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Ducks | 35c | 1,802$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.16 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Ducks | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Ducks | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,693$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 62c | 1,678$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.87 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 36c | 1,620$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.71 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 35c | 1,612$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks | 61c | 1,577$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.8 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 61c | 1,559$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Ducks | 62c | 1,550$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks | 56c | 1,539$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.65 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Ducks | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kraken | 58c | 1,473$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.64 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kraken | 38c | 1,458$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.83 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Ducks | 20c | 1,414$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Ducks | 64c | 1,386$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 54c | 1,381$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.46 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Kraken | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Ducks | 44c | 1,161$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken | 39c | 1,149$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.65 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Kraken | 45c | 1,123$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.51 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Kraken | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Ducks | 20c | 1,104$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Ducks | 61c | 1,094$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.57 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Kraken | 80c | 1,065$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 43c | 1,040$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.94 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 38c | 1,013$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.16 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Kraken | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 63c | 999.94$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.96 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Ducks | 19c | 976.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Kraken | 37c | 946.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.01 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…0758backed Kraken | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e01…aae8backed Ducks | 64c | 945.31$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…758cbacked Ducks | 64c | 945.31$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Kraken | 42c | 895.13$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.88 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kraken | 36c | 893.98$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.15 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…7848backed Kraken | 78c | 839.4$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Kraken | 38c | 833.15$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.45 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Ducks | 62c | 830.65$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Ducks | 43c | 821$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.67 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Ducks | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Kraken | 40c | 808.88$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.33 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kraken | 43c | 792.4$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 36c | 770.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.32 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kraken | 38c | 766$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Ducks | 61c | 759.02$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kraken | 38c | 747.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.75 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Ducks | 6c | 700.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…3043backed Kraken | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Kraken | 37c | 700$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Ducksthis page
- Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.