NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c19c2aa55076a8483e452ca41833c764b244b83233b6c968f8f640906a2a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Under | 51c | 10,020$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 5,585$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 4,607$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Under | 51c | 4,371$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.73 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 4,263$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.92 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 49c | 3,875$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.24 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,913$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 51c | 1,482$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 48c | 1,341$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.31 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,131$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.7 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…b669backed Under | 50c | 923.74$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Under | 49c | 690.74$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 4c | 481.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 399.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 52c | 205.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 76.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…12f4backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 49c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 49c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 49c | 52.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 49.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 49c | 45.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 40.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 40.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Over | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…a268backed Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 20.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…e267backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…4b51backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…00a5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. DucksKraken won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.