TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Sabres, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$577,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$591,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets50c165,498$82,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,778.1488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Sabres50c164,489$82,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,244.4510753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets50c110,660$55,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,961.4767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sabres50c73,581$36,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,790.729548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Blue Jackets50c34,945$17,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,472.58657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Sabres50c32,016$16,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,00861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Blue Jackets50c32,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00015953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sabres49c22,107$10,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,825.942,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres0c10,465$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.687450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres49c10,003$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.341,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Sabres33c9,307$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.3238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sabres33c9,148$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.612,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Sabres3c8,510$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.310745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sabres50c8,402$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blue Jackets51c7,776$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.6256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres49c6,263$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.071,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jackets50c6,027$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.5893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blue Jackets50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Sabres50c4,743$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked Sabres50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres28c3,900$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.441,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres16c3,423$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.7189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Sabres50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Blue Jackets50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sabres50c2,965$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.641,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Blue Jackets50c2,842$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42116246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Sabres44c2,489$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ca…ffb8backed Blue Jackets51c2,342$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…0f43backed Sabres50c2,306$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Sabres50c2,155$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.4428853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets66c2,101$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.973,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets64c2,001$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.8895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Sabres50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Sabres49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jackets51c1,802$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.956855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.391,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres49c1,734$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.661,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sabres34c1,648$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7134538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Sabres49c1,553$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.8526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres49c1,542$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.5997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Sabres50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Blue Jackets50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Sabres49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.782740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets72c1,392$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3871,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blue Jackets51c1,288$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.0550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sabres33c1,279$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.3727739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets79c1,194$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Sabres18c1,104$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7212941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Blue Jackets49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Sabres50c1,055$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.517744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Sabres44c1,019$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.821,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Sabres49c1,012$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Sabres2c1,001$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Sabres50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Sabres50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Blue Jackets51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3936948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets49c899.94$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sabres51c827.91$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.238252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78f…9aa2backed Blue Jackets50c754$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9d…8c23backed Blue Jackets50c752$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2582…bffabacked Blue Jackets50c752$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04dc…9503backed Sabres51c739.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be1…2bc1backed Sabres51c737.25$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…ebd2backed Sabres51c737.25$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres49c727$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…88d0backed Blue Jackets50c686$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3432142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Sabres2c675.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5718520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres51c666.67$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa608…42a2backed Sabres49c616.82$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Sabres50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Sabres50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Blue Jackets49c560.55$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8822852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Sabres2c554.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.999423.4%22 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Blue Jackets63c542.55$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7249…3db9backed Blue Jackets51c531.57$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d83…5f5bbacked Blue Jackets51c528.34$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Sabres51c510$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.110846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Sabres2c508.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Sabres18c508$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.442142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…c397backed Sabres52c503.43$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb866…7078backed Blue Jackets51c502.96$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac0…1054backed Blue Jackets51c501.82$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.894100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blue Jackets47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26548050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sabres49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Sabres50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Blue Jackets50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Sabres50c500$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Sabres51c499.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25474951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d3…d96fbacked Blue Jackets51c495.1$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17f…167abacked Sabres49c495.1$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Blue Jackets51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.247256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55d…76c0backed Sabres49c481.49$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.