NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda1ad6c86cd5b036c191d0143f631605c14c3b09720a3e96ffab33ee3205e934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Stars, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 38c | 165,836$63,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,818.39 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Stars | 62c | 74,270$46,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,047.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 62c | 54,366$33,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,707.22 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Stars | 1c | 15,862$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 62c | 15,552$9,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,665.02 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks | 38c | 12,812$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,943.55 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 62c | 10,237$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.83 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 62c | 10,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.87 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 70c | 8,260$5,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.03 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 62c | 7,898$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Stars | 1c | 7,685$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Stars | 62c | 7,650$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Blackhawks | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 62c | 6,482$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 33c | 6,398$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.79 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Stars | 0c | 5,841$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 21c | 5,724$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.93 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 58c | 5,547$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Stars | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blackhawks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Stars | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.88 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Stars | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks | 37c | 3,895$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.55 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Stars | 59c | 3,890$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.32 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 3,633$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks | 38c | 3,514$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.78 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Stars | 62c | 3,447$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.14 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 45c | 3,358$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 51c | 3,230$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Stars | 1c | 3,192$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 63c | 3,168$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Blackhawks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 38c | 2,658$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.42 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 2,641$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Blackhawks | 75c | 2,333$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks | 60c | 2,305$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.6 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 62c | 2,200$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.14 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2466…d080backed Stars | 1c | 2,058$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks | 39c | 2,015$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.87 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Stars | 62c | 2,007$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.34 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Stars | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 70c | 1,955$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Stars | 42c | 1,897$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stars | 25c | 1,789$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.71 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blackhawks | 37c | 1,644$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.45 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blackhawks | 73c | 1,554$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.09 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Stars | 24c | 1,411$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,298$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.76 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Stars | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Stars | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 1,205$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.21 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked Blackhawks | 79c | 1,080$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Stars | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Stars | 23c | 994.18$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blackhawks | 37c | 930.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.51 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stars | 14c | 922.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks | 37c | 880.71$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.26 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks | 36c | 813.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Stars | 43c | 806.3$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Blackhawks | 39c | 804.23$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.58 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Blackhawks | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Stars | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Stars | 62c | 758.06$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Blackhawks | 71c | 752.21$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 37c | 750$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Stars | 15c | 737.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…1c5bbacked Stars | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blackhawks | 41c | 692$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.91 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 57c | 684$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 31c | 666.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Stars | 62c | 580.65$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Stars | 62c | 569$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.78 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Stars | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Blackhawks | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Blackhawks | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Stars | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars | 21c | 483$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Stars | 63c | 479$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…68f3backed Stars | 62c | 450.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks | 38c | 444.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.42 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 425.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c4…14c7backed Blackhawks | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Blackhawks | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 400$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Stars | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Stars | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stars | 30c | 316.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Stars | 6c | 310$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Stars | 21c | 303.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Stars | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blackhawks won
- Stars vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.