NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e3b029ceb8e1c0c4d09c1178582beda70f6d1ed118c6a9b5e4d2071578ff936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $756,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 987 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 51c | 298,977$153,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,209.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flyers | 55c | 203,652$111,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,008.26 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Penguins | 46c | 58,784$27,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,743.19 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 55c | 35,544$19,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,576.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flyers | 54c | 26,000$14,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,040 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flyers | 56c | 19,949$11,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,171.44 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flyers | 7c | 19,739$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.73 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Flyers | 54c | 17,711$9,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,563.79 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…d8c7backed Flyers | 57c | 15,700$8,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Penguins | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,555.25 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0904…4a6ebacked Flyers | 57c | 10,500$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flyers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flyers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.97 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Flyers | 56c | 9,710$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.48 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…2ca2backed Flyers | 57c | 9,045$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…b4cebacked Penguins | 43c | 9,036$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 57c | 8,902$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.27 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Flyers | 54c | 7,715$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 50c | 7,177$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…688fbacked Penguins | 43c | 6,823$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…da8dbacked Penguins | 43c | 6,817$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 56c | 6,616$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.14 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…0333backed Penguins | 43c | 6,450$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 16c | 6,167$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.03 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…61f2backed Penguins | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 56c | 5,545$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.16 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Flyers | 54c | 5,011$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.94 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Penguins | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers | 54c | 4,521$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.17 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Flyers | 54c | 4,360$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Flyers | 54c | 4,360$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.4 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Flyers | 54c | 4,136$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 65c | 3,881$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…f649backed Penguins | 45c | 3,795$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…3d2bbacked Flyers | 55c | 3,795$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flyers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 44c | 3,540$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.15 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flyers | 54c | 3,502$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 44c | 3,423$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.61 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…f14abacked Flyers | 55c | 3,422$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e820backed Penguins | 45c | 3,422$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Penguins | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…702fbacked Flyers | 57c | 3,409$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c76…8307backed Flyers | 55c | 3,206$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…ab59backed Penguins | 45c | 3,206$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flyers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Flyers | 40c | 2,999$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.47 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…73a7backed Flyers | 55c | 2,996$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…79f7backed Penguins | 45c | 2,996$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…7d15backed Penguins | 45c | 2,861$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…c519backed Flyers | 55c | 2,861$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0525…ecc5backed Penguins | 45c | 2,761$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…7ac6backed Flyers | 55c | 2,761$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…21fcbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,711$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…40d0backed Penguins | 45c | 2,711$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 54c | 2,709$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.12 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf4…47c7backed Flyers | 55c | 2,687$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…2d85backed Penguins | 45c | 2,687$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Penguins | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…0e64backed Flyers | 55c | 2,487$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05cd…8ee2backed Penguins | 45c | 2,487$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flyers | 7c | 2,487$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,463$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.38 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…424cbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,417$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…ef22backed Penguins | 45c | 2,417$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…5891backed Penguins | 45c | 2,382$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…37e6backed Flyers | 55c | 2,382$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…dec5backed Flyers | 55c | 2,351$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…9a13backed Penguins | 45c | 2,351$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…6742backed Flyers | 56c | 2,335$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Flyers | 57c | 2,325$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.25 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…4c20backed Penguins | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…8720backed Penguins | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Flyers | 56c | 2,289$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…709fbacked Flyers | 57c | 2,273$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…52c1backed Penguins | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eef…52debacked Penguins | 45c | 2,245$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…9f6dbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,245$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Penguins | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28db…2a24backed Penguins | 45c | 2,079$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…758dbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,079$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…3906backed Flyers | 55c | 2,078$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…ee4ebacked Penguins | 45c | 2,078$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Flyers | 54c | 2,004$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,000$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.66 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…d063backed Penguins | 45c | 1,965$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8522…b5c6backed Flyers | 55c | 1,965$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…d067backed Flyers | 55c | 1,961$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…3de7backed Penguins | 45c | 1,961$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…2204backed Penguins | 45c | 1,946$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…7b04backed Flyers | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…e2bebacked Penguins | 45c | 1,921$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…94c5backed Flyers | 55c | 1,921$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…e3f5backed Flyers | 55c | 1,874$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa435…6413backed Penguins | 45c | 1,874$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flyersthis page
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.