Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02dafa9a7bde4961d58c7c26cdef77b23ae3ab35ec085e3fc7b3f7d87fbe13ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 10,404$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.25 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 5,155$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 62c | 5,012$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.46 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Falcons | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 3,777$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Team Falcons | 33c | 3,497$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.72 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,921$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.61 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Team Falcons | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,718$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.51 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,450$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 1,411$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.9 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.22 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,296$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,228$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 1,200$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,080$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.56 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…9a81backed Team Falcons | 5c | 1,067$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Spirit | 71c | 874.3$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.3 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Team Falcons | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 764.25$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 753.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Team Spirit | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…adc6backed Team Spirit | 71c | 603.68$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 70c | 590.16$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 569.05$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 512.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 477.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 42c | 471.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.31 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 392.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 350.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Falcons | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Team Spirit | 76c | 264.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 40c | 263.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…d3eebacked Team Spirit | 80c | 259.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Falcons | 20c | 255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Team Spirit | 70c | 249.08$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 248.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Spirit | 46c | 235.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…78aebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 218.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Team Spirit | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Team Spirit | 75c | 191.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 59c | 173.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Spirit | 52c | 163.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Spirit | 80c | 158.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Team Falcons | 37c | 150.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Team Falcons | 40c | 135.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Spirit | 80c | 131.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Spirit | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Falcons | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Spirit | 53c | 89.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Team Spirit | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 60.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…bab3backed Team Spirit | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Team Spirit | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…8c74backed Team Spirit | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 52.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Team Spirit | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0db1backed Team Spirit | 77c | 40.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 39c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Spirit | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Spirit | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…330bbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Falcons | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4468…ad0abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…da3ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 22.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 66c | 22.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…f0d2backed Team Spirit | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…47fdbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Team Spirit | 77c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.