Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fc009a96f4a7cc63ee73e262d7674ccd91cd1b41b8526577a818472ebdbc8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 12,068$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.79 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Team Spirit | 66c | 8,571$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Spirit | 42c | 7,351$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.63 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 6,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Team Falcons | 58c | 5,633$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.31 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 5,400$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 4,313$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.51 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,940$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.91 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,788$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Team Spirit | 70c | 3,120$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.57 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,100$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 2,960$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,921$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.68 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,716$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.99 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 2,190$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.43 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,102$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.73 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,079$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 2,008$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Team Falcons | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,682$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.55 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…d162backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,650$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 1,636$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.71 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 1,546$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,500$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.95 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,316$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 1,297$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.17 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,242$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.75 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,168$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.57 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 975.56$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 934.93$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 900$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 877.47$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 866$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.96 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…8edebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 850$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…fa98backed Team Spirit | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Falcons | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 775.43$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.52 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 682.91$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Team Falcons | 49c | 624.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Falcons | 33c | 609.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 39c | 599.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.8 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 583.97$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Falcons | 32c | 580.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Spirit | 40c | 549.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Falcons | 49c | 524.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 58c | 514.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Team Falcons | 35c | 501.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Team Spirit | 60c | 501.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Spirit | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 57c | 490.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 482.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 482.04$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Falcons | 33c | 481.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Spirit | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 65c | 456.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 426.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 422.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5246backed Team Spirit | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Spirit | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Falcons | 47c | 379$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 46c | 357.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 346.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a728backed Team Spirit | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Team Falcons | 58c | 328.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 323$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 301.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Spirit | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Team Falcons | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Falcons | 61c | 298.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 298.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 281.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Team Falcons | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 256.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Spirit | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 249.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Team Falcons | 58c | 248.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Team Falcons | 35c | 242.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Team Falcons | 45c | 241.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Team Spirit | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Team Spirit | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 57c | 219.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Spirit | 43c | 216.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…26aebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Team Spirit | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…bad8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.