Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d850001a6b48be05ccf0c28ebf6e1f5c30beb60fef609773e751d4707e7755b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof G2 Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paper Rex | 59c | 3,010$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.17 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 2,662$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.62 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Paper Rex | 56c | 1,796$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Paper Rex | 60c | 1,224$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.08 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked G2 Esports | 25c | 1,124$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 982.7$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 969.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Paper Rex | 59c | 800$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.58 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Paper Rex | 50c | 764.5$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed G2 Esports | 58c | 694.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 Esports | 3c | 630$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 Esports | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Paper Rex | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Paper Rex | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked G2 Esports | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed G2 Esports | 30c | 292.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Paper Rex | 48c | 288.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Paper Rex | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed G2 Esports | 35c | 240.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Paper Rex | 67c | 221.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 Esports | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 167.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked G2 Esports | 26c | 135.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked G2 Esports | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked G2 Esports | 44c | 107.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Paper Rex | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed G2 Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Paper Rex | 53c | 90.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Paper Rex | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Paper Rex | 48c | 85.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed G2 Esports | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked G2 Esports | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Paper Rex | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed G2 Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed G2 Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed G2 Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked G2 Esports | 47c | 28.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…3a23backed Paper Rex | 69c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Paper Rex | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Paper Rex | 64c | 18.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Paper Rex | 64c | 18.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.