Dota2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8b08db5a4bbfe03f00e7dbdd451c9b184d1b4b4948672889b24b1a2548584c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Under | 41c | 43,558$17,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,591.31 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Over | 56c | 14,790$8,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,259 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Over | 73c | 12,325$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,946.94 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over | 61c | 11,457$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.15 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Over | 52c | 8,469$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Over | 55c | 4,711$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.26 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Under | 44c | 4,527$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.62 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Under | 47c | 4,502$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.11 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…0536backed Over | 65c | 3,680$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Over | 60c | 3,368$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.82 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…f637backed Under | 49c | 3,357$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Over | 52c | 3,130$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Under | 48c | 3,130$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Over | 58c | 2,770$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Over | 42c | 2,640$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.4 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Under | 39c | 2,543$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.03 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under | 28c | 1,656$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.47 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Under | 49c | 1,546$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.61 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Under | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Over | 53c | 1,383$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Under | 48c | 1,252$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.96 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Under | 17c | 1,150$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 7c | 1,014$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.53 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Over | 34c | 999.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Under | 40c | 972.73$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.8 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 39c | 971.71$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.6 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 62c | 783.53$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 56c | 719.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Under | 39c | 689.74$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.74 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Under | 75c | 679.29$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Over | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Under | 40c | 596$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.8 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…01cabacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Over | 15c | 529.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 67c | 500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Under | 51c | 488.56$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Over | 55c | 424$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Under | 31c | 422.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Under | 45c | 399.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Over | 74c | 350$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 9c | 343.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9562backed Over | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Under | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 25c | 266.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…3198backed Over | 63c | 219.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Under | 25c | 212$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Over | 55c | 207.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e530backed Over | 66c | 197.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Under | 47c | 187.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 185.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Under | 46c | 173.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Under | 60c | 165.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Under | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Over | 55c | 117.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Over | 64c | 108.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Over | 56c | 104.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Over | 57c | 94.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Under | 46c | 70.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f744backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Over | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 41c | 58.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…984dbacked Over | 73c | 57.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 52c | 48.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Under | 62c | 47.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…6e41backed Under | 29c | 43.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…9a81backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Over | 55c | 37.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…121bbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…da7dbacked Over | 60c | 27.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…10dcbacked Under | 77c | 21.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.