TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit44c15,702$6,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,890.1712256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Yandex45c12,029$5,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,61614840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Spirit38c10,699$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.4210236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit51c9,451$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80553451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit24c8,791$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.3789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit29c8,002$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.261,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Team Spirit57c7,855$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.93650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Yandex74c6,746$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.9986659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Spirit50c6,333$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.8412348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Yandex41c5,970$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.32766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit20c5,576$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.9180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex61c4,931$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.5141055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex61c4,835$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.3348954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex45c4,699$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.2620159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Team Spirit59c4,698$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.3310451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex51c4,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.7134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit35c3,577$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.0739660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit55c3,546$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.3653652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Team Spirit60c3,445$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0673542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Spirit25c3,230$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.414751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Yandex40c3,125$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87523746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Yandex65c3,065$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.8816149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…a807backed Team Spirit1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Team Spirit55c2,934$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.76854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Team Spirit37c2,731$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.0815946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Team Yandex47c2,586$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.852759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Yandex40c2,302$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.3110048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit60c2,200$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32028159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit17c2,015$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.291,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex45c1,857$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.621847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Spirit28c1,795$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Team Yandex57c1,782$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.4214947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit32c1,739$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.4919047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex42c1,682$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.657549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Yandex46c1,389$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.327630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit33c1,211$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3971…dc73backed Team Spirit14c1,006$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.73650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Team Yandex39c999.96$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Team Spirit61c836.07$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit52c834.4$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex43c827.27$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.5785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9f…7482backed Team Spirit45c819.99$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+101.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55e…c136backed Team Spirit39c800$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit22c732.6$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6220361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Yandex73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16212868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1318…0af2backed Team Yandex39c594.08$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3917633.5%59 W · 117 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Spirit17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020556.1%115 W · 90 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex54c577.52$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Team Yandex70c562.11$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.69750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Spirit40c560.47$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.216139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Team Spirit59c550$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.516155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Yandex78c512.59$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8216665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Spirit17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Spirit22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Yandex53c490.85$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6528244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Team Spirit43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex42c459.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0160552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex68c438.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3460646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Team Spirit46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Spirit54c429.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Team Yandex50c396.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.677037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit13c393.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.442,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit13c389.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.910850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex80c377.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0754445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Team Spirit49c362.53$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.646963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Spirit56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19617146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed Team Spirit46c336.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.628661.6%53 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Spirit17c320$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.216232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdc…3198backed Team Spirit49c303.66$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Team Spirit27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…67a6backed Team Spirit23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.93633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Spirit35c284.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6319251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Spirit58c279.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3321350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit54c276.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Team Spirit31c275.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.752944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Team Spirit34c270$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.120530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Team Spirit20c270$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.78748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex48c257.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4159250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Yandex40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Team Spirit43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Spirit21c220.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6917946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e1…802abacked Team Spirit13c216.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294325.6%11 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Yandex42c212.93$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.58845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb8f…d7e3backed Team Spirit13c201.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.861070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Team Spirit20c200.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Team Spirit25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Team Spirit12c181.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed Team Spirit56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Team Spirit28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41fc…debbbacked Team Spirit30c175.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af4…f744backed Team Spirit35c163.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Team Yandex41c151.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2222538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit11c148.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd892…f6d9backed Team Spirit29c138.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Team Spirit38c134.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.