NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823c70cb70db9c9fcd336dd46db5f44429e33fb3d28ef17de1a29ab7b2d97265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Capitals, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,422,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,624,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,422,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,844 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Red Wings | 53c | 168,217$89,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,114.7 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 47c | 82,111$38,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,592.26 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 47c | 15,300$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Capitals | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 59c | 11,177$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.1 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Red Wings | 53c | 10,106$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…f5d4backed Capitals | 49c | 10,064$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 49c | 9,848$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.54 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 47c | 9,662$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.21 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Red Wings | 74c | 7,017$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Capitals | 53c | 6,899$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.32 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Wings | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 56c | 5,351$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.37 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…9f51backed Red Wings | 50c | 5,096$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.96 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…cd49backed Red Wings | 50c | 4,797$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 51c | 4,541$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Red Wings | 50c | 4,402$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 47c | 3,933$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Red Wings | 50c | 3,896$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.59 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Capitals | 38c | 3,804$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.9 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 50c | 3,620$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Red Wings | 52c | 3,293$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 46c | 3,232$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,965$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.54 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Red Wings | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,602$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.19 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,555$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Capitals | 47c | 2,493$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.76 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Red Wings | 66c | 2,296$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Capitals | 4c | 2,100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…07a9backed Capitals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…2190backed Capitals | 52c | 1,905$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.54 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…067dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,778$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.99 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Red Wings | 67c | 1,751$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Capitals | 4c | 1,700$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 52c | 1,666$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.23 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Red Wings | 73c | 1,639$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 52c | 1,602$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.31 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 49c | 1,542$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.63 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 49c | 1,532$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.12 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Capitals | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…acacbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…6c72backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…97d8backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…a566backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…17d0backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…789cbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…446cbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…994bbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…c107backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…0673backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…527dbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…3e0ebacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…60b0backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…c045backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…2b79backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4824backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…38fdbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…36b0backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…1318backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…3d33backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…cb7dbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…dd9ebacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bd…b385backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4fcfbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b4…19b6backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecf…3ecebacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…b9fabacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…a1d7backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…b46bbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedfe…9710backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e39…590fbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…683dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…b387backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…c8c4backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…20f0backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…8f24backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ce…4283backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…b00abacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…da2dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4a…96a0backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…a37abacked Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1c…a2b2backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…8eeabacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…8808backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…245cbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde14…aac1backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…8a37backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…4161backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…b6d2backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.