TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes53c5,084$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.55944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.956240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No63c4,732$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.586672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c4,590$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.0250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes23c4,296$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c4,050$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes22c2,991$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.1113845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes23c2,990$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.684934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c2,420$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.044,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No76c2,029$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.043253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c1,847$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No77c1,518$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.141020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No72c1,500$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4159947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No77c1,264$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes22c1,108$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes23c798.86$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7413728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes17c765$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.692213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No47c722.51$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.932835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No77c646$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5823250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No76c627.36$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.579055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No77c615.58$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe6…9562backed No49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No77c570.08$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No78c530.61$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked No78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.822147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1159347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c423.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.735119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…8390backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes23c387.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2115049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c383$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c376.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4274657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1058…e43abacked Yes16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes54c332.37$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked No77c320.13$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.632240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes10c311.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Yes22c299.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes23c286.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes19c275.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0421842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd905…6bbdbacked Yes15c273.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No77c258.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5714574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes18c252.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes25c235.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes24c208.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes23c208.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No78c205.11$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Yes25c203.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2449…75a4backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No76c183.37$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No77c167.02$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Yes15c146.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.83842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c138.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.173,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No77c138.05$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.752770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No77c137.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7412757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No77c131.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.269655.2%53 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.667135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec2…b015backed Yes24c125.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091d…b305backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c107.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9135148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ab…dd08backed Yes24c103.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes14c102.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149338.7%36 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246636.4%24 W · 42 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901464.3%9 W · 5 L+8.1wins+0.58per pick6cpaid+977.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2330956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322839.9%91 W · 137 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No77c99.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes11c98.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No77c91.6$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.078961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes23c91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.932227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No74c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9866…4712backed No78c89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e5…deb8backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes28c85.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.043537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes24c84.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.