TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked No54c149,999$81,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,999.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes46c63,288$29,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,112.5410438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c42,174$19,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,350.614,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9617248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Yes48c18,613$8,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,934.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes49c17,362$8,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,440.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No54c15,512$8,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,135.67139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes30c7,446$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.519541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes47c6,167$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.8625248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes24c4,507$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No52c4,216$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.858957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes45c3,505$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.16672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No51c3,326$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.976145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes47c3,269$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.326051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No51c3,123$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.073253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Yes48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.627448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c2,614$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.423,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c2,420$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.322335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c2,400$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.321,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed No52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bce…150bbacked Yes17c2,395$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1150%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes36c2,337$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No73c2,095$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.413946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9207424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c1,942$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.371,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No54c1,885$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.193943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes46c1,502$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes37c1,353$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c1,322$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes48c1,210$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.051741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes49c1,186$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58115446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…16a4backed Yes17c1,177$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes46c1,170$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes26c1,122$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes45c1,108$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.6421641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No66c1,098$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No52c1,050$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0323452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.161020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed No52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No52c994.99$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes30c974.94$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.234440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes30c900.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7919662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes27c827.53$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.711942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c814.95$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes48c746.05$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes28c700$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1515940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c689.34$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes49c657.14$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes48c630$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes29c603.94$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No50c598.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.746836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No51c562.87$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff33…91fbbacked Yes48c550.04$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes48c525$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes49c514.64$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.076141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes32c467.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c445$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2513824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes20c437.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8926241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes48c412.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No51c409.72$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.777953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No77c402.45$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108c…1691backed Yes47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes48c398.05$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes30c350$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.512917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes48c339.96$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.189347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes19c318.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.62030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No56c310.71$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.716755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes47c296.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes19c296.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2513728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237c…aa68backed Yes50c290$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes49c273.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1341435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes17c265.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.131729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes23c264$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.424738.3%18 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes36c247.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed No53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c234$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35be…a347backed Yes52c228.87$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes48c216.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.895119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac3…d015backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes40c212.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd036…a17cbacked Yes48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc32f…cb35backed Yes31c207.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.46825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.