TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x60b2…3ccebacked No71c15,000$10,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,649.943253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c10,226$3,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,603.684,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c7,548$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,347.1830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No71c4,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.975742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No9c2,501$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c1,953$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.8390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No72c1,223$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.553458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,138$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.935125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No4c1,121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No67c1,111$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes34c1,087$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.247424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No49c1,029$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c999.98$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c832.51$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.989055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes30c772.88$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.9725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c733.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3314427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes34c661.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No36c598.68$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0121842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No55c545.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No8c427.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c410$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c404.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4915049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.831428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No23c391.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.733946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes36c347.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.223522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.584440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cfa…ad59backed Yes66c303.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No71c287.62$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.455151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes36c247.16$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes29c246.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c243.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No56c232$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No66c218.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes71c213.11$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.112437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c195.75$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1319652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes30c160.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+107.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No69c158.73$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.533847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes79c139.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.241258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ec…3ecbbacked No30c139.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.12650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes30c125.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No24c123.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes29c120.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.691258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes30c117$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…e43abacked Yes31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7123855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7130956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0c…f470backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed No70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.991560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…35aebacked Yes30c92.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d6…ba60backed Yes29c92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+181.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes31c90.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…4f91backed Yes31c84.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No66c78.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6412744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.132450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No71c76.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.19158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03b…49aabacked No72c76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff3…8438backed No72c75.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c72.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.693,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002d…4a9cbacked Yes66c70.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.449558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9726545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c65.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes63c65.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes32c65.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.632524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No71c65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1518564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes28c63.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9614854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No58c63.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.824156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc52…fcc3backed No70c62.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed No72c62.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Yes29c62.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.49343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c57.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403378.8%26 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…27e7backed Yes37c53.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes48c50.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2214333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019c…e2c2backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes29c49.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.193655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes27c46.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.977135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf693…584dbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.453661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb789…bae4backed Yes30c45.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6889…875dbacked Yes30c43.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+130.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked No60c41.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.