NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cce5f8d027f12a9aaf60c82ca1c80a1e0e890e9b3a1ba77df3808a15d96800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,608,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,667,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,608,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 26c | 214,078$55,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,461.01 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Wizards | 17c | 80,000$13,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,539.88 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 26c | 73,773$19,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,489.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 2c | 54,591$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.54 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 1c | 43,016$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.44 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Wizards | 17c | 37,607$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,248.25 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 16c | 30,237$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,398.82 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 26,390$19,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,188.53 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards | 17c | 23,263$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,308.29 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 22,886$9,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,605.23 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 18c | 22,040$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,074.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,600 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Wizards | 15c | 16,485$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,093.41 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Wizards | 18c | 15,885$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,025.7 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 16c | 15,005$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,554.16 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 17c | 14,426$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.99 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 17c | 11,858$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,835.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 11c | 11,735$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.71 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 17c | 11,625$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,636.41 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Wizards | 16c | 11,501$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,708.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 16c | 11,132$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,340.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Wizards | 17c | 11,100$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Grizzlies | 59c | 10,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.99 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 9,849$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Wizards | 17c | 9,078$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,535.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 70c | 8,124$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Wizards | 28c | 7,254$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.49 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 18c | 7,150$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Wizards | 10c | 6,627$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Wizards | 19c | 6,264$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.95 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 17c | 5,803$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.58 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Wizards | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Wizards | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Grizzlies | 25c | 3,994$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…9b59backed Wizards | 22c | 3,899$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Grizzlies | 80c | 3,898$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.28 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 3,855$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 15c | 3,765$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.13 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 61c | 3,642$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 17c | 3,493$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.02 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,469$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wizards | 31c | 3,303$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.7 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 40c | 3,027$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.75 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 35c | 3,018$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.47 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Wizards | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 13c | 2,963$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.66 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Wizards | 28c | 2,648$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.23 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,624$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.08 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 14c | 2,451$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.53 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 2,385$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.83 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.94 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Wizards | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.22 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Wizards | 43c | 2,138$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.7 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Wizards | 55c | 2,112$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.81 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…ebd9backed Wizards | 18c | 2,056$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 17c | 2,021$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.25 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 16c | 2,000$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.97 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 66c | 1,934$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.3 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…02f1backed Wizards | 17c | 1,750$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…09d8backed Wizards | 10c | 1,736$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 17c | 1,729$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Wizards | 17c | 1,568$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.47 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Wizards | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Wizards | 14c | 1,400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,374$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies | 72c | 1,347$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.78 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.99 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…da11backed Wizards | 16c | 1,281$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Wizards | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Grizzlies | 77c | 1,200$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Wizards | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…51ecbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…e166backed Wizards | 17c | 1,109$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.22 | 521 | 37.2%194 W · 327 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,105$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.84 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Wizards | 16c | 1,100$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 23c | 1,083$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wizards | 21c | 1,083$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.06 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…61b6backed Wizards | 18c | 1,070$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.35 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,052$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.38 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,033$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Wizards | 33c | 1,022$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.74 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…d8e9backed Wizards | 18c | 1,020$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,020$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.81 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Wizards | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Grizzlies | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wizards | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Wizards | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Wizards | 18c | 979.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…a5eebacked Wizards | 17c | 941.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.18 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-13.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.