NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Knicks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ced39eec0e202f1ac24aed113b53f0857e8285334f06245c5871a90785f0f3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Heat, Knicks
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,115,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,155,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,153 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 700 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	29c	43,886$12,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,726.9	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Knicks	71c	40,000$28,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,600	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Heat	26c	37,950$9,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,866.99	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	27c	34,220$9,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,336.43	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks	74c	32,147$23,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,358.2	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Heat	29c	31,733$9,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,126.04	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	23c	29,242$6,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,667.5	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks	73c	21,503$15,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,820.79	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Knicks	73c	20,633$15,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,570.86	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat	27c	20,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Heat	29c	19,677$5,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,650.53	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Knicks	73c	19,318$14,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,215.95	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Heat	26c	18,956$4,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,984.03	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	27c	16,512$4,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,464.9	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	27c	16,315$4,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,404.93	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Heat	18c	15,981$2,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840.99	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Heat	26c	15,573$4,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,008.98	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks	63c	13,968$8,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,101.21	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks	74c	12,139$8,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,153.69	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Heat	8c	11,863$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.76	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	10c	11,300$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.35	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a44…30c4backed Heat	2c	11,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Heat	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Heat	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.98	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…249ebacked Knicks	56c	9,071$5,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,993.78	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Heat	29c	8,336$2,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,417.4	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks	73c	8,266$6,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,248.51	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Knicks	74c	8,179$6,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,126.58	130	63.8%83 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Knicks	70c	7,742$5,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,285.51	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Knicks	71c	7,500$5,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,174.98	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	17c	7,423$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.73	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	72c	7,406$5,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,105.83	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks	74c	6,149$4,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,577.41	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Heat	15c	5,905$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.75	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Heat	1c	5,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks	72c	5,390$3,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.98	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Heat	10c	5,200$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Heat	27c	5,104$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.54	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Heat	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Heat	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Heat	36c	4,775$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,735.8	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Knicks	74c	4,685$3,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.2	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Heat	27c	4,444$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6b32backed Knicks	73c	4,200$3,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Heat	27c	4,193$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.13	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Knicks	73c	4,170$3,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.98	145	49%71 W · 74 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50fd…cd30backed Heat	50c	4,100$2,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,047.31	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Knicks	72c	4,086$2,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.21	309	47.6%147 W · 162 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Heat	26c	4,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Heat	22c	3,770$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.3	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Heat	29c	3,703$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+7.4wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Knicks	55c	3,656$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,656.33	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Knicks	58c	3,448$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.28	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3033…eda3backed Heat	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Heat	10c	3,100$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	68	11.8%8 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks	72c	3,082$2,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.96	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Heat	29c	3,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b5…316bbacked Heat	17c	2,887$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.5	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Heat	35c	2,869$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.46	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Knicks	62c	2,867$1,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.25	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Knicks	75c	2,837$2,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.89	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56bf…0af6backed Heat	25c	2,791$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.54	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.24per pick	44cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Heat	28c	2,676$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.28	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+7.5wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks	59c	2,642$1,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.23	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks	73c	2,500$1,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…0442backed Heat	26c	2,462$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	142	64.8%92 W · 50 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Heat	47c	2,459$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.98	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks	73c	2,427$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.32	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks	73c	2,351$1,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.72	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Knicks	71c	2,304$1,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.16	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	1c	2,300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Heat	18c	2,248$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Knicks	73c	2,238$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.21	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…8928backed Knicks	74c	2,025$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Heat	1c	2,001$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heat	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d11…6096backed Heat	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…c852backed Heat	28c	2,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Knicks	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	131	55%72 W · 59 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Heat	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Heat	21c	1,800$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	328	27.4%90 W · 238 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Heat	31c	1,639$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.34	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Heat	27c	1,634$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.7	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Knicks	61c	1,631$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.29	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bae…bac0backed Knicks	73c	1,630$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.03	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1238…37fabacked Heat	27c	1,600$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bf…f4b4backed Heat	27c	1,600$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Heat	45c	1,563$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Heat	27c	1,556$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Knicks	58c	1,550$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.5	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat	26c	1,500$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Knicks	75c	1,500$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Heat	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Heat	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	475	35.8%170 W · 305 L	+41.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Knicks	73c	1,500$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.71	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat	37c	1,496$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.3	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks	74c	1,457$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.8	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Knicks	72c	1,451$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.3	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Knicks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event