NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a584c5e1b8bb7d84b7beff22ef5c90a69286e475bbcedb2f7f0976ff203b52

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Knicks, Heat
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $132,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,250 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Knicks	46c	78,064$35,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,909.21	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Heat	54c	44,300$23,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,378	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+7.5wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Heat	54c	22,977$12,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,569.37	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,400	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks	47c	19,692$9,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,255.1	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	54c	6,594$3,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,040.23	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Heat	54c	4,800$2,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,208	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Heat	55c	4,650$2,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,092.5	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d8…4867backed Knicks	45c	4,450$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.49	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks	46c	2,158$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Knicks	46c	2,100$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.98	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks	48c	1,856$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.88	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Knicks	2c	1,600$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Heat	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks	36c	995.56$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.47	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Knicks	47c	903.42$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.43	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Heat	56c	869.82$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.41	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Knicks	46c	826$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.96	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Knicks	46c	825.99$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.96	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Heat	53c	805$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.5	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks	45c	705$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.61	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks	46c	670.03$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.44	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Heat	58c	518.26$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.26	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Heat	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Knicks	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	158	7%11 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks	47c	495.18$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.74	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Heat	54c	462.96$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.96	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Heat	55c	436.36$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.36	258	47.3%122 W · 136 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	53c	402.19$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.32	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Heat	54c	369.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.2	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks	51c	351.2$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.73	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Heat	70c	300$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Heat	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Knicks	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Heat	52c	270.31$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.31	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks	48c	250.5$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.6	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Heat	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks	45c	249.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks	48c	220$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Heat	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.05	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Heat	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Heat	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Heat	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Heat	55c	198.18$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.18	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Heat	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks	47c	185.11$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aef…dc0fbacked Heat	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	42c	171.83$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.94	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	67c	171.64$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.64	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Heat	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Knicks	44c	162$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Heat	55c	136.36$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.36	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Heat	53c	132.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Heat	72c	130$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Heat	55c	130$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Knicks	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Knicks	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Heat	53c	103.39$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.63	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Heat	54c	101.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.99	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Knicks	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f7…8c8bbacked Knicks	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Heat	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Heat	48c	99.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Knicks	45c	95$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5256…24a5backed Heat	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Heat	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-7.1wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Heat	45c	82.72$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.41	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat	50c	72$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a6…af86backed Heat	57c	69.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Knicks	48c	68.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Knicks	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Knicks	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Heat	55c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	236	51.7%122 W · 114 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Heat	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	121	57%69 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	53c	56.93$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Knicks	48c	55.83$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Knicks	46c	54.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Heat	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc232…4dddbacked Knicks	45c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Knicks	47c	48.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Knicks	40c	48.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Knicks	48c	47.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Knicks	35c	46.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Heat	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Heat	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Heat	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Heat	54c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Heat	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Knicks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Heat	52c	38.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Heat	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Heat	56c	37.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Heat	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	33	75.8%25 W · 8 L	+7.9wins	+0.24per pick	52cpaid	+48%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Heat	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce86…b648backed Heat	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks	45c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Knicks	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Heat	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event