Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b22948dab9eb2e03a2823b8685c14aeb52f4881019f75c164c544d8009b86e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Saski Baskonia | 53c | 7,162$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.1 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…6382backed Barcelona | 49c | 5,977$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barcelona | 47c | 2,031$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.06 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 1,921$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 1,833$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.99 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barcelona | 79c | 1,737$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.68 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 63c | 1,713$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.17 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Saski Baskonia | 2c | 1,592$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barcelona | 77c | 1,220$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 1,172$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.61 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Barcelona | 47c | 1,100$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Saski Baskonia | 23c | 819$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 799.31$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Barcelona | 60c | 726.95$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Barcelona | 53c | 533.83$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9562backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 508.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Barcelona | 68c | 464.71$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 44c | 426.4$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Barcelona | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Barcelona | 12c | 390$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Barcelona | 58c | 297.03$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Barcelona | 68c | 287.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Barcelona | 63c | 278$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Barcelona | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 248.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Barcelona | 61c | 232.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 208.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Barcelona | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Saski Baskonia | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Barcelona | 66c | 160$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Saski Baskonia | 43c | 153.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 149.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 78c | 132.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…1f68backed Barcelona | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Barcelona | 79c | 127.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 108.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 101.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Barcelona | 13c | 100.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Barcelona | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Barcelona | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…5f9cbacked Barcelona | 78c | 91.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 88.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Barcelona | 58c | 85.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Barcelona | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Barcelona | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8865…2008backed Saski Baskonia | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Barcelona | 78c | 63.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Saski Baskonia | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Barcelona | 51c | 58.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Barcelona | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Barcelona | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Barcelona | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Barcelona | 63c | 38.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Barcelona | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Barcelona | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Barcelona | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Barcelona | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Barcelona | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa711…078cbacked Barcelona | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Barcelona | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Barcelona | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Barcelona | 63c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Barcelona | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Barcelona | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Barcelona | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Barcelona | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Barcelona | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Barcelona | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Barcelona | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Barcelona | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.