CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9159e003ba5dc44c7e70fa0874780dc14098a29d468ba64b97ce35a158a6638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof MANA eSports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4991…d4dcbacked MANA eSports | 1c | 7,416$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked megoshort | 29c | 5,100$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 47c | 4,739$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked megoshort | 29c | 4,700$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked megoshort | 29c | 4,300$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 26c | 4,045$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.4 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed megoshort | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MANA eSports | 61c | 2,820$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked megoshort | 21c | 2,155$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked MANA eSports | 71c | 2,100$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed MANA eSports | 71c | 2,100$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked MANA eSports | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,553$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.66 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…f290backed megoshort | 29c | 1,461$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked MANA eSports | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked MANA eSports | 80c | 860.63$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed megoshort | 30c | 849.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.05 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked megoshort | 16c | 824.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.24 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…69a0backed MANA eSports | 46c | 811.5$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed MANA eSports | 72c | 803.95$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.5 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked megoshort | 30c | 683.71$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…7848backed MANA eSports | 75c | 608.49$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…084bbacked megoshort | 33c | 564.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked megoshort | 43c | 555$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.55 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 24c | 513.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…fd10backed megoshort | 47c | 512.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed MANA eSports | 55c | 509.88$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.08 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked MANA eSports | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed megoshort | 43c | 461.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked megoshort | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed MANA eSports | 55c | 452.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed MANA eSports | 6c | 432.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed MANA eSports | 68c | 429.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MANA eSports | 32c | 403$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed MANA eSports | 80c | 390$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked MANA eSports | 79c | 378.62$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked megoshort | 25c | 358.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MANA eSports | 3c | 355.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…afd4backed MANA eSports | 15c | 341.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MANA eSports | 19c | 338.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MANA eSports | 51c | 327.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed megoshort | 30c | 326.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…36f2backed MANA eSports | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…6127backed megoshort | 31c | 254$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed MANA eSports | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…4353backed MANA eSports | 68c | 232.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked megoshort | 74c | 232$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MANA eSports | 9c | 225.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed MANA eSports | 70c | 202.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…ed27backed megoshort | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked megoshort | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked MANA eSports | 6c | 183.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…08e9backed MANA eSports | 69c | 173.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed MANA eSports | 80c | 172.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed megoshort | 30c | 167.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MANA eSports | 67c | 160.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 156.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…58f5backed MANA eSports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked MANA eSports | 72c | 153.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed megoshort | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…d906backed MANA eSports | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…b0abbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MANA eSports | 14c | 128.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed MANA eSports | 78c | 128.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3600backed megoshort | 77c | 127.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed MANA eSports | 80c | 125.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked megoshort | 42c | 122.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed MANA eSports | 34c | 116.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed megoshort | 35c | 114.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…7765backed MANA eSports | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked MANA eSports | 62c | 106.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…bebebacked MANA eSports | 70c | 102.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked megoshort | 15c | 100.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked MANA eSports | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MANA eSports | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed megoshort | 21c | 94.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed megoshort | 31c | 93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked MANA eSports | 69c | 92.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed MANA eSports | 80c | 91.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed megoshort | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…0150backed MANA eSports | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed megoshort | 31c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed megoshort | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked megoshort | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed megoshort | 21c | 74.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…3701backed MANA eSports | 80c | 74.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed megoshort | 77c | 73.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed megoshort | 28c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked MANA eSports | 72c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MANA eSports | 26c | 62.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.