NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa308e641b9d995d1677ac7c159e7a43e9975e0304eab39f8f1f20986a92b6918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Sabres | 40c | 248,369$100,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,883.37 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 60c | 128,382$76,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,601.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Devils | 59c | 57,044$33,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,656.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.97 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 59c | 22,344$13,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,183 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 41c | 17,327$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,289.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Devils | 42c | 14,423$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.91 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Devils | 47c | 13,926$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.49 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Devils | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 57c | 11,762$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Sabres | 43c | 11,250$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 57c | 11,124$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 58c | 11,000$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 41c | 10,366$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.85 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 44c | 10,000$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Sabres | 43c | 9,200$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.84 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 43c | 7,049$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 60c | 7,045$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.04 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sabres | 42c | 6,620$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.42 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 59c | 5,179$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.66 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Devils | 59c | 5,000$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.41 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Sabres | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 40c | 4,410$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.21 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 42c | 4,360$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.04 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sabres | 25c | 4,007$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 40c | 3,664$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.41 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 38c | 2,837$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.05 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 39c | 2,782$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.94 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Devils | 31c | 2,763$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.53 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 59c | 2,518$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.94 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sabres | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Devils | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 60c | 2,290$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.83 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Sabres | 42c | 2,272$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.04 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…58b4backed Devils | 2c | 2,175$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Devils | 60c | 2,085$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.89 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 40c | 2,053$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.42 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 41c | 2,005$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Devils | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Sabres | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Devils | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Devils | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Devils | 31c | 1,844$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.64 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Sabres | 43c | 1,770$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils | 57c | 1,759$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,733$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.77 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sabres | 41c | 1,732$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.71 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Devils | 13c | 1,280$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Sabres | 38c | 1,275$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…d51ebacked Sabres | 41c | 1,210$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Devils | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Devils | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Sabres | 76c | 981.93$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.93 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Devils | 17c | 971.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sabres | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Devils | 20c | 923.74$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…b565backed Sabres | 53c | 918$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…6614backed Devils | 47c | 918$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 40c | 899$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…8e3ebacked Sabres | 53c | 891$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b7e9backed Devils | 47c | 891$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres | 43c | 891$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.87 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 42c | 889.83$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…8f03backed Sabres | 53c | 888$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…fb40backed Devils | 47c | 888$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf36…3138backed Sabres | 53c | 881$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…8ab5backed Devils | 47c | 881$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Sabres | 68c | 880.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…60a3backed Sabres | 53c | 860$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…0b04backed Devils | 47c | 860$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…dd9ebacked Sabres | 53c | 843$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…73c9backed Devils | 47c | 843$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 57c | 829.51$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.74 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…9223backed Sabres | 53c | 815$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…d6d9backed Devils | 47c | 815$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…0a47backed Sabres | 53c | 814$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…b763backed Devils | 47c | 814$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…b9fabacked Devils | 47c | 813$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…552abacked Sabres | 53c | 813$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Devils | 47c | 807$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…8d08backed Sabres | 53c | 807$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4824backed Sabres | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1361backed Devils | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c655backed Devils | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…92c4backed Sabres | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…17d0backed Devils | 47c | 796$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…80edbacked Sabres | 53c | 796$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3828…8cc3backed Devils | 47c | 795$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14df…50cbbacked Sabres | 53c | 795$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Devils | 63c | 794.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…b6d2backed Sabres | 53c | 793$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Devilsthis page
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.