NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd642d641e33af00b7a2a1a17d99becc6e27a54a59feeddc8158bca1861d40b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Devils, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 38c | 4,390$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 62c | 1,664$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.32 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 37c | 563.49$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Devils | 38c | 311.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Sabres | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sabres | 61c | 243.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 63c | 166.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 65c | 162$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Sabres | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Devils | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Devils | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sabres | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Devils | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Sabres | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Devils | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Sabres | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Sabres | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Devils | 34c | 31.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sabres | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Sabres | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sabres | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Sabres | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Sabres | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Sabres | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. DevilsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.