NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fcabe5e31c2f8811e89a521a27de819b0a1dce7167289f115797df739680da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,585,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,325,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,585,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Warriors | 56c | 513,134$285,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,371.03 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 37c | 310,057$114,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,563.3 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Timberwolves | 65c | 285,714$185,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,714.09 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 280,093$176,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,458.73 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Warriors | 35c | 276,465$96,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,702.29 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 35c | 153,071$53,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,540.7 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Warriors | 35c | 142,857$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,856.93 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…2becbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 122,297$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 51c | 121,847$61,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,661.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 116,975$38,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,709.12 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Timberwolves | 2c | 111,237$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.02 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Warriors | 36c | 85,018$30,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,213.39 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 73,366$47,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,272.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 72,044$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.79 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Warriors | 36c | 54,000$19,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,819.12 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Timberwolves | 3c | 52,348$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 49,067$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 46,350$30,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,049.44 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 60c | 43,748$26,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,142.43 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 40,442$18,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,412.01 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 39,038$18,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,689.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Timberwolves | 9c | 38,808$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.64 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Warriors | 34c | 38,674$13,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,362.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 36c | 34,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,760 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Timberwolves | 1c | 33,131$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 54c | 32,869$17,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,888.05 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 30,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000.29 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 29,998$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 45c | 28,685$12,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,767.27 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Warriors | 37c | 24,324$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,324.32 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 23,208$10,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,347.51 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Timberwolves | 64c | 23,000$14,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,690 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Timberwolves | 1c | 22,800$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Timberwolves | 65c | 22,650$14,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,722.09 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 21,730$14,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,149.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 65c | 21,450$13,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,942.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 21,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Timberwolves | 1c | 20,000$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Warriors | 79c | 19,940$15,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…d4e6backed Warriors | 34c | 18,137$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,054.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Timberwolves | 64c | 17,514$11,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,208.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Timberwolves | 67c | 17,310$11,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,597.54 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 67c | 16,132$10,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,808.43 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Warriors | 32c | 16,107$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,912.83 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Timberwolves | 1c | 15,200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 15,049$7,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,898.9 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Warriors | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.7 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…5625backed Timberwolves | 68c | 14,581$9,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,915.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 66c | 14,183$9,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,330.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 13,900$9,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,452 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…e646backed Timberwolves | 64c | 13,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Timberwolves | 65c | 12,308$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 11,905$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.4 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 11,656$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,615.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Timberwolves | 1c | 11,649$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Timberwolves | 66c | 11,296$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.2 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 11,143$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 67c | 11,127$7,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,427.88 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 37c | 10,861$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,307$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.33 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Timberwolves | 68c | 10,303$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,965.95 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Timberwolves | 71c | 10,018$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.96 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Warriors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.9 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 9,303$6,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023.68 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Timberwolves | 67c | 8,979$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.6 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Timberwolves | 67c | 8,786$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,873.14 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Warriors | 33c | 8,763$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.43 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 33c | 8,395$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,583.78 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 66c | 8,129$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.34 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Warriors | 36c | 7,962$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.89 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Timberwolves | 68c | 7,914$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.13 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 7,900$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Warriors | 40c | 7,886$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.21 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 7,737$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.5 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…c247backed Warriors | 36c | 7,600$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…9ee0backed Timberwolves | 65c | 7,258$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 7,029$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Warriors | 33c | 6,767$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.89 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Timberwolves | 1c | 6,546$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Timberwolves | 1c | 6,546$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Timberwolves | 1c | 6,448$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…77fabacked Warriors | 35c | 6,444$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 66c | 6,268$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.85 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Timberwolves | 65c | 6,200$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Timberwolves | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 5,993$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.95 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 5,986$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.11 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Timberwolves | 65c | 5,908$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 32c | 5,827$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.63 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Warriors | 34c | 5,826$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.36 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,811$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…14b7backed Timberwolves | 67c | 5,700$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…c344backed Warriors | 36c | 5,400$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 31cpaid | +238.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 5,015$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Timberwolves | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.