TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Timberwolves, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Warriors56c13,011$7,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,77421057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves45c10,231$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors54c4,101$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.3566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves46c2,478$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves45c2,365$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves33c1,413$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.592,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors53c1,176$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors55c1,175$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves44c1,011$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Timberwolves50c999.98$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9911256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves46c953.24$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Warriors55c843.64$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6421852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3206…cd86backed Warriors61c839.91$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Timberwolves47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Warriors53c729.3$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7714346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Warriors55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Warriors55c496.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6524051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…0c2fbacked Warriors50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.031040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Timberwolves54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21620754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves47c317.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Warriors53c299.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9948146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves45c261.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves44c215.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Timberwolves50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Timberwolves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Timberwolves51c197.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors46c191.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ed…c66bbacked Warriors55c181.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.71376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+98.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors46c167.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9981…a0d7backed Timberwolves47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves45c135.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves50c131.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.821,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Timberwolves51c114.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5828251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves50c108.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5465950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves46c106.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.132,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves47c103.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.333,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd59e…e640backed Warriors55c100.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ba…f09dbacked Warriors50c100.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3314456.9%82 W · 62 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Timberwolves51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.561747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Warriors54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4651651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3beb…77d1backed Warriors50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508345.8%38 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves44c94.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.512,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Timberwolves47c90.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7418438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Timberwolves46c78.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Timberwolves50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc5…229dbacked Timberwolves47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc276…0031backed Timberwolves47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Timberwolves55c62.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1948451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Timberwolves45c58.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Timberwolves55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…306bbacked Timberwolves46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fe…74e1backed Timberwolves47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors49c50.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Timberwolves51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.454351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…59adbacked Timberwolves46c47.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Warriors59c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2733360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bea…2380backed Timberwolves47c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889b…bbaebacked Timberwolves46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada4…1bfabacked Timberwolves46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.322356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Warriors50c40.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1619940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Timberwolves50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Warriors54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0410462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Warriors55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3613250%66 W · 66 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves45c36.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…cd6ebacked Warriors54c35.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves48c31.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9849…36f0backed Warriors50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d2…a162backed Timberwolves47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Warriors52c29.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1411553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Timberwolves46c28.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Timberwolves46c28.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Warriors52c24.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Timberwolves48c24.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5817750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Warriors54c21.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Warriors50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Warriors50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.