NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f452f889f8a0efa90871a73a8b267cd0ffdd7ed4570a9e8a6d8ba431be05561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 50c | 16,161$8,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,080.43 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,209$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 53c | 3,107$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 2,608$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.64 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…1ccbbacked Over | 49c | 2,522$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,178$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.3 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 1,709$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.86 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 46c | 1,602$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.08 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Under | 46c | 1,295$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 54c | 1,215$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.22 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 952.12$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 733.93$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.98 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 614.34$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 388$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 364.84$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 51c | 344.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 333.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 56c | 311.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 54c | 295.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 45c | 237.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 51c | 200.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 197.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 49c | 166.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 51c | 140.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 137.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…ddc4backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 105.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 58c | 86.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Over | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 59.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…2f38backed Over | 52c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 51.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…08afbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…a150backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…6976backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Over | 51c | 43.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…3642backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…78d3backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…60a4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…c438backed Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…6030backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…60fdbacked Over | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -79%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…3738backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…25bbbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…dbd3backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 51c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 26.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Over | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 51c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.