NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eded64aaac654a56acf92f2ca06bf5c186b192b15f8e37a971a3aeb15f722ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 53c | 8,461$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.82 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 8,348$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 46c | 6,767$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.82 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…026abacked Under | 55c | 2,610$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a6…cff6backed Under | 55c | 2,582$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2723backed Under | 55c | 2,574$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…349abacked Over | 45c | 2,572$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a8…d64fbacked Under | 55c | 2,563$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…fc34backed Under | 55c | 2,563$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…b168backed Over | 45c | 2,563$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…4c5cbacked Under | 55c | 2,553$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…01dcbacked Over | 45c | 2,552$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…e9f3backed Under | 55c | 2,551$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…c0f1backed Over | 45c | 2,543$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…f182backed Over | 45c | 2,542$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…0370backed Under | 55c | 2,542$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…58d8backed Under | 55c | 2,541$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…16acbacked Under | 55c | 2,541$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…99afbacked Under | 55c | 2,536$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…cbc7backed Under | 55c | 2,536$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…3deabacked Under | 55c | 2,535$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a6…a8a0backed Over | 45c | 2,534$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…7012backed Under | 55c | 2,534$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…7729backed Over | 45c | 2,534$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…f35abacked Under | 55c | 2,523$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…1011backed Under | 55c | 2,512$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…f643backed Over | 45c | 2,494$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 2,481$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.88 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…02e3backed Over | 45c | 2,063$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…e609backed Over | 45c | 2,063$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…01b9backed Over | 45c | 2,054$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…4ce7backed Over | 45c | 2,054$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…92c8backed Over | 45c | 2,051$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…0ce8backed Over | 45c | 2,042$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…9cc2backed Over | 45c | 2,042$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…6e88backed Over | 45c | 2,036$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…ad76backed Over | 45c | 2,036$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…076cbacked Over | 45c | 2,021$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 50c | 1,927$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,742$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.98 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 1,085$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 1,036$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 50c | 935.48$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.74 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 896.16$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 51c | 732$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 51c | 487.76$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 53c | 469.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 257.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 205.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 53c | 166$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…5b70backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…164ebacked Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 47c | 103.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…5dbdbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…6112backed Over | 54c | 62.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 56.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…229dbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…0e40backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5ce8backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 53c | 48.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 53c | 41.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 52c | 41.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…ff6cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…0308backed Under | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 51c | 38.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…bbaebacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 27.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…78d3backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…4858backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.