NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47aa16878e0db9005eec919801679c0fd74a4d0d71b1f6d866815f2f855d4565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 52c | 260,008$135,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,783.92 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 114,290$54,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,859.27 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Timberwolves | 48c | 78,234$37,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,552.55 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Warriors | 50c | 63,394$31,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,761.02 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 44,147$21,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,994.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Warriors | 52c | 32,767$17,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,589.87 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 28,818$14,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,409 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…d00abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 18,868$9,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,325.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…d6aabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 12,292$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,149$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.37 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,896$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Warriors | 48c | 8,549$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.76 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors | 50c | 7,634$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.92 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 53c | 6,550$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,249$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.5 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,938$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.5 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 50c | 4,136$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 51c | 3,706$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,491$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.57 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 49c | 2,447$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.93 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,417$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.73 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,253$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.98 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 51c | 2,178$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 49c | 2,129$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,054$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,964$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,878$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,706$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Warriors | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.99 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Timberwolves | 29c | 1,585$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.44 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,256$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.88 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,140$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,021$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 994.64$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.91 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 953.73$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.48 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 915.5$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.75 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…0abbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 808$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 51c | 800.11$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.11 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Timberwolves | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 654.57$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.34 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 600$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 578.2$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Warriors | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Warriors | 48c | 555.34$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Timberwolves | 49c | 529.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.18 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Timberwolves | 52c | 500$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…787bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 495.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Timberwolves | 52c | 490.42$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.02 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 74c | 484$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Timberwolves | 47c | 427$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 421$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.08 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Timberwolves | 54c | 400.94$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Timberwolves | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Warriors | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Timberwolves | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Warriors | 51c | 386.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 33c | 349.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Timberwolves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Timberwolves | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 54c | 294.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Warriors | 51c | 280.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 248.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Timberwolves | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 235.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Timberwolves | 58c | 228.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Warriors | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Timberwolves | 58c | 220.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 212.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Warriors | 50c | 201.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…33bebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Warriors | 49c | 192.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 51c | 188.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.