Serie A · resolved market
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd605332d181ef8cd7dac76d428e66c848e2256dd6fd95bac8e180926aaab0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 54c | 63,081$34,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,017.3 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 49,418$31,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200.82 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 46c | 46,802$21,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,516.63 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 36,264$19,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,625.36 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 46c | 27,070$12,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,452.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 54c | 25,678$13,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,786.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes | 33c | 20,790$6,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 46c | 18,882$8,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,682.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 17,955$10,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420.39 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 10,144$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.33 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 57c | 9,602$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.12 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 6,929$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.8 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 46c | 6,859$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 14c | 6,438$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 46c | 5,059$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 66c | 4,573$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 3,476$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.39 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 46c | 3,215$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 46c | 2,999$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 2,884$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,546$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,196$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.25 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 54c | 2,162$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.27 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 40c | 2,159$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.58 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 41c | 2,129$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 41c | 2,084$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.45 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 45c | 1,889$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 1,777$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,678$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,612$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 1,521$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.45 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,416$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 46c | 1,395$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 41c | 1,230$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…dab3backed Yes | 46c | 1,215$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed No | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 1,200$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed No | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Yes | 1c | 1,160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 1,090$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.11 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 33c | 1,021$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…9716backed Yes | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…e87dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…627fbacked Yes | 42c | 966.23$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…de7cbacked Yes | 46c | 941.3$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 47c | 927.57$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 46c | 874.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 862.03$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…bb52backed Yes | 46c | 847.83$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes | 46c | 771.74$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…a9e7backed Yes | 46c | 756.59$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 35c | 714.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 39c | 702.56$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 44c | 639.49$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 58c | 624.97$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…aaa3backed Yes | 34c | 571.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 570.42$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 46c | 567.49$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes | 31c | 557.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 54c | 499$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 44c | 495.44$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…d7c1backed No | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…053ebacked No | 55c | 489.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 442.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 46c | 433.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 43c | 408.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 360.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 359.55$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 45c | 357.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 32c | 342.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 62c | 310$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. Lazio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.