Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC vs. Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x831ae638222a90234e5e270f5c12616d40a8f89121f49efdbab2b4cefaa9c3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 3,815$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Yes | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,954$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.82 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Yes | 53c | 2,360$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 54c | 1,895$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 27c | 1,302$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 1,299$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,262$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.58 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed No | 70c | 1,006$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 78c | 727.33$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 32c | 726.86$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 716$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 26c | 490$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 19c | 370.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 31c | 351.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.61 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 19c | 349.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…47e6backed Yes | 63c | 295.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 37c | 282.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 272.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 48c | 255.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 69c | 216.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 74c | 168.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 70c | 114.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 61.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…4c39backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Yes | 74c | 40.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…fdf3backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 55c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…4d51backed Yes | 50c | 24.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…3609backed Yes | 66c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…3efabacked No | 70c | 23.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…512abacked Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC vs. Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.