Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1b4a1ca0d776dfe08727a2c686114cd55d40c70cf4b3391caae10746969734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 16c | 4,472$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.58 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,882$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,297$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.23 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,841$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,667$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 1,446$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.46 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 895.57$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 79c | 615.24$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 76c | 540$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 78c | 492.68$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 413.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 76c | 395.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…8592backed Yes | 24c | 394.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…56cbbacked No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 24c | 283.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 76c | 261.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 77c | 258.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked No | 76c | 202.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 24c | 201.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 176$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…c300backed No | 76c | 130.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…b08bbacked Yes | 17c | 124.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 107.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Yes | 20c | 102.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…498cbacked No | 76c | 101.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 93.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…739ebacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…1ce2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…1cdfbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…d9e0backed No | 77c | 65.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 18c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 25c | 46.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…a538backed No | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…d212backed No | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…9c5fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…84bcbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 79c | 31.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…9862backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ce6cbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…76e4backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…30ddbacked No | 76c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 80c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…317abacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?this page
- Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?No won
- Will Pisa SC vs. Lazio end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.