CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5a05de8ceba1e3832e5722f9ea38be70107adc890a107eff618475543278ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 31,000$20,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,229.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed B8 | 32c | 30,501$9,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,836.29 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked B8 | 33c | 30,264$9,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,987 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 20,605$14,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.43 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed B8 | 33c | 20,000$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.29 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 10,001$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.49 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed B8 | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked B8 | 32c | 9,112$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.82 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 8,327$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.84 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed B8 | 34c | 6,685$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.83 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed B8 | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.96 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 5,775$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…1993backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,922$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked B8 | 30c | 4,425$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.67 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 4,109$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.58 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.47 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,540$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.54 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed B8 | 12c | 3,217$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed B8 | 29c | 3,142$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed B8 | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked B8 | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,745$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.28 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed B8 | 31c | 2,716$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.08 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,535$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.56 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,471$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.51 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked B8 | 32c | 2,422$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.99 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed B8 | 33c | 2,388$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.95 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,142$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.44 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked B8 | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.99 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked B8 | 29c | 2,083$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,860$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.92 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,722$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.68 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 26c | 1,701$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,600$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,571$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked B8 | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed B8 | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…17eabacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed B8 | 36c | 1,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…d5cabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,350$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,314$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…982dbacked B8 | 35c | 1,272$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 11c | 1,225$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,117$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.16 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,101$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,066$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.15 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,044$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.55 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked B8 | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed B8 | 32c | 998.47$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked B8 | 34c | 987.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked B8 | 32c | 942.79$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…18abbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 897.06$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 870.46$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.84 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed B8 | 26c | 798.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…36e5backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 760.75$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1259…cdd7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 704.32$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 696.71$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 689.52$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed B8 | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…4eb8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 650.74$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 646.81$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 621.3$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked B8 | 33c | 610.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.41 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…5206backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 541.46$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 541.3$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked B8 | 7c | 535.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed B8 | 17c | 530$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…a074backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 528$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…97b8backed B8 | 33c | 526.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 515$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed B8 | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed B8 | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed B8 | 35c | 499.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed B8 | 19c | 494.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 476.82$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…0018backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 447.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 434.11$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked B8 | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…6ec5backed B8 | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…ab9abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 386.91$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 384.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…10f5backed B8 | 29c | 373.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked B8 | 22c | 362$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 357.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed B8 | 35c | 347.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 343.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked B8 | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 320.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.