CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ce7c967f6208555a1dcf8a11c45ea10d2977ffca84f1c1891a926ae317b290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed B8 | 8c | 14,400$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.69 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed B8 | 20c | 3,782$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed B8 | 43c | 3,400$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed B8 | 10c | 1,824$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.79 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 967.6$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.63 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 880.38$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed B8 | 34c | 725.76$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.76 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 713.68$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked B8 | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 433.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed B8 | 15c | 329.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked B8 | 22c | 305.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked B8 | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed B8 | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked B8 | 37c | 270.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B8 | 12c | 238.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed B8 | 19c | 174.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed B8 | 14c | 139.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed B8 | 36c | 115.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…bf49backed B8 | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked B8 | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…f51ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed B8 | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 36.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…c638backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 27.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.