TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0004847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No60c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,0006142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c27,885$17,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,610.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c25,278$10,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,141.51,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No55c20,995$11,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,377.7624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes43c20,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.953540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes43c17,500$7,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,449.069845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No59c14,083$8,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.4125752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c10,440$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.914,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c9,843$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.261,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c9,389$5,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No60c8,623$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.0124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c7,673$4,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.276,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes40c7,555$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.842828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No56c7,181$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.877149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c6,926$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.672,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes40c5,600$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0502556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.993450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes41c2,968$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.8515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes37c2,299$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No67c2,161$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.0715257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes42c2,143$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No60c2,135$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes41c2,124$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.9828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes40c2,109$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.59739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes46c2,069$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.8412448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes42c2,000$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.6714854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8207844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c1,981$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.6890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.394358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No57c1,720$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7910956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9224047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No63c1,672$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.577759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.59856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No70c1,469$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.628853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No59c1,389$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.678670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No58c1,359$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.431,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Yes42c1,245$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed No75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes43c1,161$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes41c1,100$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45241437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes32c1,092$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c1,024$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.271,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes46c1,006$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.885052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes43c946.45$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.975339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c943$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Yes33c816.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.62536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3367147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes40c799.23$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6911534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fa…ec67backed Yes42c780$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48c7…581ebacked No59c760$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3d…543cbacked No59c740$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No60c737.46$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No57c724.84$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4431053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…e1b9backed Yes42c720$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes42c667.84$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes20c637.07$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.857317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab7e…9e98backed No57c579.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes51c511.6$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8066…3b22backed Yes42c510.52$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No56c506.75$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.455276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed No59c500$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No59c497.14$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4330739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes15c494.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.737632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c485.5$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7796445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4003…5773backed Yes51c479.79$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes34c475.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes23c440.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8412639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c408.56$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.671,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1809254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1688349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes33c391.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.311,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No78c387$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0925052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.