TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked No56c44,294$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,494.193246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes44c38,896$17,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,114.2914450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c25,980$11,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4421,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes41c14,163$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,768.381421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No58c8,888$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.955752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c8,064$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.031,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No59c8,000$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.3210148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No44c7,044$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.991,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c6,795$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2503336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.994736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No35c4,888$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.3912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c4,852$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.732,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes45c4,665$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes69c4,348$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes44c3,404$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes45c3,095$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.111,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No54c3,046$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.2224146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes42c2,900$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.464235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.992035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280b…4574backed No56c2,472$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad7…8cadbacked Yes44c2,466$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes45c2,392$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.4925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c2,303$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.836,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes42c2,222$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2212241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9711029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Yes44c1,977$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8702592%23 W · 2 L+8.7wins+0.35per pick57cpaid+109.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No71c1,862$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.478853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes14c1,831$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7427024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No56c1,789$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.224047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Yes44c1,771$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes42c1,731$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.0211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No55c1,725$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.6439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c1,566$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.871,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c1,451$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.784,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No55c1,381$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.448747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.339347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes44c1,312$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.411428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes43c1,308$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.542441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes43c1,300$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No18c1,237$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.3918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes42c1,097$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2925052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c1,082$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1114544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes21c1,035$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.94447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes43c1,023$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c1,008$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.521,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No56c996.43$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.439749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes45c906.31$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.842231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes44c897.7$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9914138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Yes43c865.12$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-71.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Yes44c820$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3447833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33617544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes45c783.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d9…d51ebacked Yes46c720$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961d…953dbacked No55c699.95$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No41c691.97$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1210330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff0…0178backed No55c680$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c669.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c4…3203backed Yes46c660$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd192…d266backed Yes44c609.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c598.27$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes23c572.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.493834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No55c519.75$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.895276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes42c509.9$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1611533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No56c500.02$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.019246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2159843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes65c499.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.997353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes43c499.97$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No60c482.13$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.051266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No56c476.41$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.336546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes36c466.67$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4003…5773backed Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4312639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x166c…bf05backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes31c395.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No57c388.23$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No56c375.32$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3210757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes45c375$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.036241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes42c368.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.891850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes44c363$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.722850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No56c359.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3911143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf135…b072backed Yes44c357.91$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.149749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.145455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes69c355.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4325256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes44c348.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.