TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No60c3,053$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.7990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes31c2,135$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c2,063$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.921,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked No2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No57c1,920$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.2623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c1,480$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c1,373$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes75c1,203$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.424,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes43c1,035$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.776756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes43c994.53$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.883850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes80c966.89$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.053,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes42c943.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.763414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No56c748.61$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.833946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes44c690$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.46238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked No58c631.03$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes44c534.62$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.971656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes41c504.55$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.676836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3354148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.997953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c490.5$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes45c398.86$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.874440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No32c374.85$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3610441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c359$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.725872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes38c354.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9426241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No57c349.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17115049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c282.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.277632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.164440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c261$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No56c252$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.566550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2710437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No57c222.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c220.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…c4e8backed Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…39c7backed Yes44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes44c157.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.27631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No59c151.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.396141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No39c148.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3312744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.533148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5353…d07fbacked Yes44c129.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes32c125.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2714333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c17…ee47backed Yes44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Yes44c119.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5665…21dabacked Yes44c109.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.09875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ea…78e3backed No57c102$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No58c101.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7720945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659338.7%36 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f48…5eb6backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859e…d21fbacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b3…eb2dbacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585850%29 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ec…3ecbbacked Yes35c98.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No34c97.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.763847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-82.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No23c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.535349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes42c73.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3625248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.825056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.144551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.144126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.357844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No58c53.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.219560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46a…e9dbbacked Yes44c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes31c51.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.863842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351250%6 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d1e…327abacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…09c2backed Yes44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624a…a25cbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc18…637abacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365e…7db9backed Yes44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes31c42.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.075957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9518564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6987…6956backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.