La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a8e91354ef84de5d1378ef4d36b86f674340b2623dedef253238f3881c9b5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 24c | 12,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.89 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 25c | 7,887$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.96 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 7,199$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 5,020$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 1,194$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.53 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 1,116$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,075$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.69 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 981.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 75c | 855$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 12c | 806.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 712.88$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 75c | 668$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 23c | 495.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 24c | 487.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 75c | 453.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 371.77$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 77c | 330.35$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 312.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 25c | 296.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 11c | 211.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 172.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 25c | 118.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 25c | 118.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…3ecbbacked Yes | 16c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b3…eb2dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 74c | 95.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked No | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 28c | 72.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…2236backed Yes | 26c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 25c | 66.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 75c | 54.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 25c | 48.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes | 28c | 46.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…073cbacked Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb690…3ae5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 77c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…3191backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…78d3backed No | 74c | 13.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.