La Liga · resolved market
Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd12c297dad1f8d94ce5fd65559565941d1b7887dc1656194f80faab932ecf845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 67c | 1,592$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.48 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,361$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.46 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,121$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 52c | 999.08$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.56 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 55c | 908.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 33c | 490.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 461.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 33c | 455$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 14c | 352.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 67c | 331$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed No | 69c | 293.26$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 33c | 215.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Yes | 36c | 201.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 14c | 194.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 69c | 130.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…3ecbbacked No | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 37c | 66.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 68c | 60.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…a25cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…f6c7backed No | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 68c | 45.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…78d3backed Yes | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.