NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77283a70c8d14270d6b708c07c59cfe1841e3dcd666c4aa02b113f08fd27213d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,629,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,712,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,629,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,094 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 314,929$104,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,686.47 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Thunder | 66c | 204,399$135,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,801.6 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 67c | 85,870$57,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,620.76 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 85,000$28,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,299.93 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 3c | 57,543$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.93 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 23c | 55,000$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,699.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Thunder | 66c | 41,000$27,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,940 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 67c | 33,438$22,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,978.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 17c | 31,349$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Cavaliers | 33c | 29,000$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,569.95 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 34c | 26,727$9,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,087.15 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…6191backed Thunder | 67c | 26,050$17,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,524.37 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 69c | 24,900$17,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,720.98 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…04e1backed Thunder | 67c | 22,200$14,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 18c | 21,663$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cavaliers | 33c | 21,060$6,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.05 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Thunder | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Thunder | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers | 1c | 18,952$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570f…58c6backed Cavaliers | 0c | 18,290$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…e646backed Thunder | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Cavaliers | 33c | 14,759$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Thunder | 67c | 14,480$9,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 67c | 14,200$9,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.89 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 72c | 13,949$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 66c | 13,846$9,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Cavaliers | 2c | 13,738$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers | 4c | 12,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 67c | 10,907$7,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.52 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…a09ebacked Thunder | 69c | 10,078$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Cavaliers | 10c | 9,972$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.88 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Thunder | 67c | 9,121$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder | 77c | 9,063$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.52 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 66c | 8,970$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Cavaliers | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Thunder | 78c | 7,758$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.3 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 67c | 7,503$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…9057backed Cavaliers | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…9f84backed Cavaliers | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Cavaliers | 34c | 7,299$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.55 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 66c | 7,168$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.03 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers | 14c | 7,094$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.34 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 6,991$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cavaliers | 32c | 6,428$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.4 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 67c | 6,330$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.29 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Thunder | 77c | 6,044$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.53 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Thunder | 66c | 5,890$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.64 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Cavaliers | 31c | 5,744$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.72 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 66c | 5,321$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Cavaliers | 34c | 5,294$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Thunder | 74c | 5,272$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.47 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Thunder | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Thunder | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cavaliers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.96 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.91 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 12c | 4,723$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.98 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cavaliers | 33c | 4,607$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…1c47backed Cavaliers | 32c | 4,600$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers | 32c | 4,409$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.86 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 29c | 4,296$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Cavaliers | 19c | 4,273$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.64 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 24c | 4,240$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Thunder | 68c | 4,160$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 32c | 4,050$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…68fdbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Thunder | 66c | 4,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 3,878$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.73 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Cavaliers | 5c | 3,797$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Thunder | 79c | 3,788$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Thunder | 67c | 3,347$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.52 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Cavaliers | 20c | 3,307$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Cavaliers | 33c | 3,206$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…6e40backed Cavaliers | 33c | 3,100$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Thunder | 67c | 3,079$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cavaliers | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Thunder | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cavaliers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.34 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,947$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.09 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Thunder | 64c | 2,892$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cavaliers | 32c | 2,752$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.81 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Thunder | 69c | 2,727$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.45 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xface…d8a2backed Thunder | 68c | 2,694$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.68 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Cavaliers | 27c | 2,623$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Thunder | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Cavaliers | 31c | 2,405$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.67 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 2,391$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Cavaliers | 1c | 2,316$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Cavaliers | 1c | 2,216$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.98 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 68c | 2,191$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.07 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.