NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60db1c73af86eecaa551d0b49d61dbcdafb8a61c1bc96a4104eb017c534df6da

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Cavaliers
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,900 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Cavaliers	49c	106,898$51,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,984.13	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Thunder	55c	48,720$26,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,978.09	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Thunder	52c	39,761$20,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,085.25	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,699.97	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Cavaliers	48c	17,528$8,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,353.01	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Thunder	51c	16,879$8,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,222.91	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	45c	12,958$5,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,780.01	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Thunder	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	52c	9,744$5,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,716.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder	53c	8,199$4,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,892.94	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers	49c	5,758$2,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,821.44	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Cavaliers	48c	4,894$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers	47c	3,830$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	46c	3,665$1,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,698.38	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers	45c	2,863$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.34	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	65c	2,589$1,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.06	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Cavaliers	49c	2,510$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.9	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	45c	2,286$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.93	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	47c	2,265$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.73	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Cavaliers	47c	2,111$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.17	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Cavaliers	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Thunder	51c	1,892$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.46	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Thunder	54c	1,856$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.05	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Thunder	51c	1,600$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.99	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Thunder	53c	1,407$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.49	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Cavaliers	47c	1,340$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder	54c	1,300$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.09	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb9…6df0backed Cavaliers	49c	1,204$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.55	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	48c	1,180$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.64	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Cavaliers	46c	850.56$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.26	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Thunder	51c	828.2$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.82	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers	47c	800.01$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.4	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Cavaliers	48c	722.89$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Thunder	51c	685$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.65	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Thunder	52c	666.63$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.98	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Thunder	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Cavaliers	47c	521.42$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.27	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Thunder	53c	481.17$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.15	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Thunder	52c	478.96$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.96	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Cavaliers	50c	400.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cb4…bd40backed Cavaliers	49c	380.37$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.54	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf6e…4948backed Cavaliers	47c	370.21$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Cavaliers	48c	362.18$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Cavaliers	48c	328.05$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.08	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a6…9050backed Cavaliers	48c	305.25$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.59	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Thunder	53c	283.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.02	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Thunder	51c	263.99$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.48	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Cavaliers	47c	255.54$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.55	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Thunder	54c	240.74$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.74	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Cavaliers	49c	209.34$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.36	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Cavaliers	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Thunder	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Thunder	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	145	37.9%55 W · 90 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Thunder	52c	197.98$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.97	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Thunder	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	250	56.8%142 W · 108 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers	31c	178.88$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder	51c	127.79$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.39	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Thunder	52c	101.87$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.9	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b58…7061backed Thunder	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed Thunder	52c	96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Thunder	53c	80.94$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.04	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Cavaliers	49c	76.08$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.31	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe998…dc05backed Cavaliers	49c	75.35$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Cavaliers	47c	69.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Cavaliers	47c	68.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-10.1wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-30%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Thunder	54c	64.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Cavaliers	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Cavaliers	49c	59.18$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Thunder	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad48…4797backed Thunder	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Thunder	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Cavaliers	47c	53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Cavaliers	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	199	40.7%81 W · 118 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Cavaliers	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-21.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cavaliers	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers	45c	49.19$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a1…3b93backed Thunder	53c	43.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.63	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+5.5wins	+0.30per pick	53cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Cavaliers	45c	40.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Thunder	53c	38.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.12	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8b…b667backed Cavaliers	49c	38.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Cavaliers	48c	34.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	242	53.3%129 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Cavaliers	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked Thunder	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f25…81f6backed Thunder	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…3cfcbacked Thunder	50c	25.85$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43c…8ffabacked Thunder	69c	23.75$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	64	67.2%43 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Thunder	53c	23.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Thunder	53c	21.23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.8wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Thunder	52c	19.37$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Thunder	75c	19.14$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.82	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. CavaliersThunder won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event