NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa37fa68f6f1573cb4ccc90145a15e48eb9eca848eb0c1ba842018a259b8c349d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 40c | 140,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.99 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 60c | 135,552$81,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,220.77 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 12,818$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 6,760$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.04 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 4,759$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 4,595$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Over | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 3,249$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…acb3backed Over | 59c | 2,574$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ea97backed Under | 41c | 2,569$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cad…9bbcbacked Under | 41c | 2,563$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2de…b214backed Over | 59c | 2,553$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…9763backed Over | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…1938backed Under | 41c | 2,541$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…9e2bbacked Under | 41c | 2,533$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…35b0backed Under | 41c | 2,386$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…0d78backed Over | 59c | 2,374$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…d5ccbacked Over | 59c | 2,364$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…aab4backed Under | 41c | 2,355$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…1f50backed Over | 59c | 2,354$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…3ba0backed Under | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…e6aabacked Over | 59c | 2,321$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…37e7backed Under | 41c | 2,319$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…865cbacked Over | 59c | 2,292$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 1,539$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 38c | 1,031$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,015$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cf7dbacked Under | 41c | 922.69$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 669.34$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Over | 52c | 505.19$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…6f1abacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Over | 49c | 462.37$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 424$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 404$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 53c | 377.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…a8cfbacked Over | 55c | 365.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…0317backed Over | 51c | 334.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 35c | 268.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 203.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 197.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 190.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 188.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 31c | 161.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 39c | 140.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…9dfebacked Over | 49c | 99.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 59c | 84.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…33a9backed Over | 61c | 53.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…686dbacked Under | 45c | 53.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 33c | 48.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 61c | 46.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 65c | 46.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…3d15backed Over | 56c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…6720backed Over | 55c | 37.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0812…6331backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…48e2backed Under | 40c | 30.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…6a59backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…c3b8backed Under | 52c | 26.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Over | 60c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 64c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. CavaliersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.