NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257d301829b498f07e61890a59d1ce9aca7ba1ba3b8035917c6a26ea4dcb111e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Golden Knights, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $927,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $962,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 805 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 52c | 336,834$173,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,116.64 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 57,692$27,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,692.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Golden Knights | 49c | 50,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,400 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.96 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…ccd1backed Golden Knights | 49c | 38,271$18,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,707.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Ducks | 51c | 31,730$16,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,547.52 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights | 48c | 28,770$13,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,952.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 28,006$13,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,724.99 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 48c | 24,994$11,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,997.15 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 23,633$11,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,565.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd415…2d56backed Ducks | 52c | 19,759$10,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,484.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…e326backed Ducks | 52c | 19,239$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 49c | 15,959$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,819.68 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Golden Knights | 41c | 15,928$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.23 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 59c | 12,412$7,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Golden Knights | 8c | 11,398$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.59 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Ducks | 51c | 11,343$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.48 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Golden Knights | 0c | 10,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks | 48c | 10,274$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.39 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights | 49c | 10,150$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…2f96backed Golden Knights | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Golden Knights | 49c | 9,091$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.49 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Golden Knights | 48c | 8,732$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.22 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Ducks | 52c | 7,147$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed Ducks | 52c | 6,530$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.92 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…ba0ebacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,344$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…8266backed Ducks | 51c | 5,031$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 52c | 5,007$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.57 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…68b6backed Ducks | 51c | 4,965$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 49c | 4,825$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.25 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…165abacked Golden Knights | 50c | 4,652$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 17c | 4,431$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.46 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Ducks | 68c | 4,422$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.96 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 1c | 4,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Golden Knights | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Golden Knights | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 13c | 3,944$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Golden Knights | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 3,439$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Golden Knights | 32c | 3,335$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.18 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Golden Knights | 1c | 3,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Ducks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Ducks | 52c | 2,924$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Ducks | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 2,900$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights | 25c | 2,787$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ducks | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Ducks | 49c | 2,504$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.8 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 32c | 2,445$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 7c | 2,430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 6c | 2,377$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 23c | 2,318$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Golden Knights | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…662abacked Golden Knights | 11c | 2,185$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,160$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.79 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Golden Knights | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,927$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.7 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Ducks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ducks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…4bcabacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,846$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights | 6c | 1,734$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.89 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…a59abacked Ducks | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Golden Knights | 19c | 1,582$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Ducks | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Ducks | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.23 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…5c56backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,494$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…8ca5backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,494$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…14c3backed Ducks | 47c | 1,494$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…993bbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,494$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…d548backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…7e70backed Ducks | 47c | 1,485$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…8fd9backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…c6edbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,485$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…1eddbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,481$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…2746backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,481$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.09 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…50f7backed Ducks | 47c | 1,473$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…ff32backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,473$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Ducks | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…f825backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,462$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…e701backed Ducks | 47c | 1,462$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…2cf4backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…6df1backed Ducks | 47c | 1,438$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…9f97backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,431$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducksthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.